Issue 12, March 2019
 
Te Kete Aronui is one of the three baskets of knowledge. This basket represents the pursuit of knowledge to help humankind.

CASS Information Services creates Te Kete Aronui by scanning recent publications for evidence based research relevant to the work of the central agencies.
 
In this Issue
Issue 12, March 2019
Digital Economy
Disaster Recovery
Diversity and inclusion
Education
Financial Stability
Foresight
Health
Housing
Inequality / Poverty
Labour market
Macroeconomics
Management / Leadership
Māori/Pacifika/Indigenous
Migration
Natural Resources
Policy-Making
Public Sector Management
Regulation
Security
Taxation
Wider Interest
Recent literature searches
Digital Economy
Measuring consumer inflation in a digital economy
by Marshall Reinsdorf
OECD Statistics Working Papers, February 2019

To calculate upper bounds for this effect, we apply weights based on the average structure of household consumption in OECD countries to a maximum plausible overstatement of price change for each affected or potentially affected product. The products account for about 35% of household expenditure in 2005, declining to 32% in 2015. The upper bound simulation effect on the growth rate of the consumption deflator is somewhat less than –0.6 percentage points in 2015 – large enough to improve the picture of GDP and productivity growth in advanced economies. However, this would not overturn the conclusion that productivity growth has slowed substantially compared over the past decades.
A Universal Basic Income in the Superstar (Digital) Economy.
by Andrew White
Ethics & Social Welfare, Mar2019, Vol. 13 Issue 1, p64-78, 15p.

This paper argues that the structural logic of the digital economy is to widen inequality, not only through its increasing automation of jobs but also in its efficiency in delivering ever greater profits to a smaller number of already-enriched organisations and individuals. Remedial actions that might be taken to mitigate the effects of some of the digital economy's structural flaws are interrogated here, with a particular focus on universal basic income (UBI) and stake-holding schemes. The paper considers whether the digital economy's inherent problems are of such magnitude that some sort of financial support for workers to buttress long periods of idleness, or to enable them to take risks in increasingly volatile and unstable global markets, is both desirable and politically feasible.
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How blockchain will change organisations.
Tapscott, Don; Tapscott, Alex
MIT Sloan Management Review. Winter 2019, Vol. 60 Issue 2
 
The article discusses the influence of blockchain to organizations which change business activities. It cites on the secured platform, ledger and database with an Internet value without the process of the traditional monetary system. The article also discusses establishment of intermediaries such as banks, government and technology companies to establish trust and maintain integrity.
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Going digital: shaping policies, improving lives
OECD, 2019.

Digital technologies and data are transformational. People, firms and governments live, interact, work and produce differently than in the past, and these changes are accelerating rapidly. How can we realise the immense promises of digital technologies and data for growth and well-being in a fast evolving world? This report charts the road ahead. It identifies seven policy dimensions that allow governments – together with citizens, firms and stakeholders – to shape digital transformation to improve lives. It also highlights key opportunities, challenges and policies related to each dimension, offers new insights, evidence and analysis, and provides recommendations for better policies in the digital age.
 
Measuring the digital transformation
A roadmap for the future.
OECD, 2019.
 
Measuring the Digital Transformation: A Roadmap for the Future provides new insights into the state of the digital transformation by mapping indicators across a range of areas – from education and innovation, to trade and economic and social outcomes – against current digital policy issues, as presented in Going Digital: Shaping Policies, Improving Lives. In so doing, it identifies gaps in the current measurement framework, assesses progress made towards filling these gaps and sets-out a forward-looking measurement roadmap. The goal is to expand the evidence base, as a means to lay the ground for more robust policies for growth and well-being in the digital era.
 
How's life in the digital age?
Opportunities and Risks of the Digital Transformation for People's Well-being 
OECD, 2019.
 
This report documents how the ongoing digital transformation is affecting people’s lives across the 11 key dimensions that make up the How’s Life? Well-being Framework (Income and wealth, Jobs and earnings, Housing, Health status, Education and skills, Work-life balance, Civic engagement and governance, Social connections, Environmental quality, Personal security, and Subjective well-being). A summary of existing studies highlights 39 key impacts of the digital transformation on people’s well-being. The review shows that these impacts can be positive as digital technologies expand the boundaries of information availability and enhance human productivity, but can also imply risks for people’s well-being, ranging from cyber-bullying to the emergence of disinformation or cyber-hacking. In sum, making digitalisation work for people’s well-being would require building equal digital opportunities, widespread digital literacy and strong digital security. Continued research and efforts in improving statistical frameworks will be needed to expand our knowledge on the many topics covered in this report.
 
Disaster Recovery
A cybercrime incident architecture with adaptive response policy
by George Tsakalidis
Computers & Security June 2019 83:22-37

Handling and mitigating the cybercrime incidents (CIs) have attracted significant research attention, over the last years, due to their increasing frequency of occurrence. However, the term cybercrime is often used interchangeably with other technology-linked malicious acts, such as cyberwarfare, and cyberterrorism, leading to misconceptions. In addition, there does not exist a management framework which would classify CIs, qualitatively and quantitatively evaluate their occurrence and promptly align them with appropriate measures and policies. This work introduces a Cybercrime Incident Architecture that enables a comprehensive cybercrime embodiment through feature identification, offence classification mechanisms, threats’ severity labeling and a completely novel Adaptive Response Policy (ARP) that identifies and interconnects the relevant stakeholders with preventive measures and response actions. The proposed architecture consists of four separate complementary components that lead to a manually – and in the future automatically – generated ARP. The idea is to build a holistic framework toward automated cybercrime handling. A criminal case study is selected to validate the introduced framework and highlight its potentiality to evolve into a CI expert system.
Capital Assets and Rural Resilience: An Analysis of Texas Communities Impacted by Hurricane Harvey
Ross Ashley
Journal of Natural Resources Policy Research. 8(1-2):154-186, 2018.

Past studies have consistently shown that rural communities are less resilient to disasters than their urban counterparts. However, the specific factors associated with low resilience have not been sufficiently explored. This study seeks to advance our understanding of rural resilience by evaluating disaster recovery from a capitals perspective, focusing on the individual and collective resources that support adaptation to disturbance. Using data from 108 resident interviews in four Texas municipalities affected by Hurricane Harvey, rural and urban capital asset losses and gains are analyzed using a mixed-methods approach. The findings indicate that rural communities have greater physical capital losses, of housing in particular, while urban communities have greater institutional capital losses. Social capital gains were prevalent in all cases but highest in the rural communities. These findings have implications for targeting capacity-building efforts in rural communities to more effectively support disaster recovery and resilience.
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Building Back Better: Local Health Department Engagement and Integration of Health Promotion into Hurricane Harvey Recovery Planning and Implementation
by Mallory Kennedy
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, Vol 16, Iss 3, p 299 (2019)

Disaster recovery provides an opportunity to build healthier and more resilient communities. However, opportunities and challenges encountered by local health departments (LHDs) when integrating health considerations into recovery have yet to be explored. Following Hurricane Harvey, 17 local health and emergency management officials from 10 agencies in impacted Texas, USA jurisdictions were interviewed to describe the types and level of LHD engagement in disaster recovery planning and implementation and the extent to which communities leveraged recovery to build healthier, more resilient communities. Interviews were conducted between December 2017 and January 2018 and focused on if and how their communities were incorporating public health considerations into the visioning, planning, implementation, and assessment phases of disaster recovery. Using a combined inductive and deductive approach, we thematically analyzed interview notes and/or transcripts. LHDs reported varied levels of engagement and participation in activities to support their community’s recovery. However, we found that LHDs rarely articulated or informed decision makers about the health impacts of recovery activities undertaken by other sectors. LHDs would benefit from additional resources, support, and technical assistance designed to facilitate working across sectors and building resilience during recovery.
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An Evaluation of the Paired Assistance to Disaster-Affected Areas Program in Disaster Recovery: The Case of the Wenchuan Earthquake
by Fangxin Yi
Sustainability, Vol 10, Iss 12, p 4483 (2018)

The Wenchuan earthquake, which happened in May 2008 in China, was one of the most destructive natural disasters of the past decade. The Chinese government implemented several aid programs, including the Paired Assistance to Disaster-Affected Areas (PADAA) program, to assist with disaster recovery. Although the Wenchuan earthquake has gained much scholarly attention, previous studies often adopted different recovery measures and provided fragmented empirical evidence on how an aid program may have influenced the recovery process in both the short and long term. To bridge the gap, this paper collects eight social, economic, and institutional indicators to measure four types of recovery processes, namely, economic recovery, social recovery, institutional recovery, and built environment recovery. The data, collected between 2002 and 2015, covers 269 earthquake-stricken counties. Based on this data, we constructed a set of disaster recovery indexes. We then evaluated the impacts of the PADAA program on the disaster recovery process across the 269 counties in both the short and long term. We concluded that the impact of the PADAA program on the post-disaster economic recovery was significant in both the short and long term, whereas its impact on the recovery of the institutional and built environment occurred in the short term. Its impact on post-disaster social recovery was inconclusive.
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Diversity and inclusion 
What Younger Workers Can Learn from Older Workers, and Vice Versa.
by Lynda Gratton
Harvard Business Review Digital Articles; 11/18/2016, p2-5

The authors elaborate age-related differences and similarities in areas that can enhance the possibility for bidirectional cross-generational mentoring and coaching in the workplace, which include learning how to control work, how to be financially proficient, and how to build a reputation.
Retaining an ageing workforce: The effects of high‐performance work systems and flexible work programmes.
by Luigi Stirpe
Human Resource Management Journal; Nov2018, Vol. 28 Issue 4, p585-604

Older workers make up a growing proportion of the workforce, and research on how best to manage them is being conducted accordingly. Here, we explored the employee retention payoff of high‐performance work systems (HPWS) and flexible work programmes (FWPs) when used with an older workforce. Drawing from the job demands‐resources model, we hypothesised that HPWS retention outcomes decrease as the workforce ages, whereas the retention capacity of FWPs increases. We also explored how the parallel provision of HPWS and FWPs affects workforce retention in more ageing workplaces. The results suggest that workforce age composition affects the HPWS‐retention relationship. However, the value of FWPs as retention tools does not vary significantly with workforce ageing. Furthermore, the provision of FWPs alongside HPWS appears to be a less‐than‐optimal approach to this retention. These findings may contribute to a better understanding of the HRM‐performance relationship, while inspiring further research into successful age‐differentiated HR strategies.
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LGBTI staff, and diversity within the Australian accounting profession.
by Matthew Egan
Sustainability Accounting, Management & Policy Journal; 2018, Vol. 9 Issue 5, p595-614, 20p

Large accounting firms lay claim today to a broad focus on staff diversity and inclusion. Related initiatives focus on gender, culture, age and sexuality. This paper aims to seek insight from publicly available discourse provided by the “Big 4” in Australia (Deloitte, Ernst and Young, KPMG and PwC), along with two second-tier firms, into the nature and drivers of diversity initiatives for lesbian, gay, bisexual, transgender and intersex (LGBTI) staff.Design/methodology/approach Web-based discourse provided as at May 2017 is examined and analysed.Findings All six firms provided a range of related disclosures, suggesting that a cultural shift for LGBTI staff was underway. Detail provided on actual policies and procedures was limited, and a struggle was suggested, between balancing the needs of diverse staff, with concerns for some, perhaps, more conservative clients. Some repositioning of arguments was suggested, focussed on shifting responsibility to staff and on shifting the object of celebration from staff to the firm.Research limitations/implications This study is limited to an interpretation of carefully constructed publicly disclosed statements. Further studies could explore the lived experience of these apparent changes with staff.Practical implications Recruitment and staff retention continue to be on-going challenges within the accounting profession. This study provides insight into initiatives targeted to support LGBTI staff.Social implications Availing space to bring ‘whole selves’ into the workplace is an important element of creating a pleasant, comfortable and engaging environment for staff. This study provides insight into the perspective of employers on the importance of such initiatives.Originality/value Little attention has been directed to exploring sexual diversity in the workplace or to sexuality within accounting studies.
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Fixing the Leaky Pipeline: Strategies for Making Economics Work for Women at Every Stage
by Kasey Buckles
Journal of Economic Perspectives, Winter 2019, v. 33, iss. 1, pp. 43-60

While women comprise over half of all undergraduate students in the United States, they account for less than one-third of economics majors. From there, the proportion of women at each stage of the academic tenure track continues to decrease, creating a "leaky pipeline." In this paper, I provide a toolkit of interventions that could be implemented by individuals, organizations, or academic units who are working to attract and retain women students and faculty at each stage of this pipeline. I focus on smaller-scale, targeted interventions that have been evaluated in a way that allows for the credible estimation of causal effects.
Closing the gender gap in pensions: A microsimulation analysis of the Norwegian NDC pension system
Journal of European Social Policy
Elin Halvorsen, Axel West Pdersen
 
In this article, we use an advanced microsimulation model to study the distributional effects of the reformed Norwegian pension system with a particular focus on gender equality. The reformed Norwegian system is based on the notional defined contribution (NDC)-formula with fixed contribution/accrual rates over the active life-phase and with accumulated pension wealth being transformed into an annuity upon retirement. A number of redistributive components are built into the system: a unisex annuity divisor, a ceiling on annual earnings, generous child credits, a possibility for widows/widowers to inherit pension rights from a deceased spouse, a targeted guarantee pensions with higher benefit rates to single pensioners compared to married/cohabitating pensioners, and finally a tax system that is particularly progressive in its treatment of pensioners and pension income. Taking complete actuarial fairness as the point of departure, we conduct a stepwise analysis to investigate how these different components of the National Insurance pension system impact on the gender gap in pensions and on general (Gini) inequality in the distribution of pension income within a cohort of pensioners. Our analysis concentrates on one birth cohort – individuals born in 1963 – and we study three different outcomes: the distribution of annual pensions early in retirement (at age 70), the distribution of the total sum of pension benefits received over retirement, and the distribution of the average annual pension benefits received over the retirement phase. In addition, we look at three alternative income concepts. These are personal income, equivalised household income, and finally an original income concept developed for this study: personal income adjusted for the economies of scale enjoyed by couple households
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Lean in Messages Increase Attributions of Women's Responsibility for Gender Inequality.
by Jae Yun Kim
Journal of Personality & Social Psychology. Dec2018, Vol. 115 Issue 6, p974-1001. 28p.

Although women's underrepresentation in senior-level positions in the workplace has multiple causes, women's self-improvement or ''empowerment'' at work has recently attracted cultural attention as a solution. For example, the bestselling book Lean In states that women can tackle gender inequality themselves by overcoming the "internal barriers'' (e.g., lack of confidence and ambition) that prevent success. We sought to explore the consequences of this type of women's empowerment ideology. Study I found that perceptions of women's ability to solve inequality were associated with attributions of women's responsibility to do so. Studies 2, 3, 5a, and 5b experimentally manipulated exposure to women's empowerment messages, finding that while such messages increase perceptions that women are empowered to solve workplace gender inequality, they also lead to attributions that women are more responsible both for creating and solving the problem. Study 4 found a similar pattern in the context of a specific workplace problem, and found that such messages also lead to a preference for interventions focused on changing women rather than changing the system. Studies 5a and 5b sought to replicate prior studies and document the weakened effects of messages that explicitly explain that women's "internal barriers" are the products of "external barriers" obstructing women's progress. This research suggests that self-improvement messages intended to empower women to take charge of gender inequality may also yield potentially harmful societal beliefs.
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Education
Debt burden after college: the effect of student loan debt on graduates' employment, additional schooling, family formation, and home ownership.
by Erin Velez
Education Economics; Apr2019, Vol. 27 Issue 2, p186-206, 21p, 3 Charts

This paper measures the effects of undergraduate student loan debt on graduates' post-college outcomes: employment, additional enrollment, family formation, home ownership, and net worth. The analysis uses data from a nationally representative sample of 2007-08 bachelor's degree recipients. Because a graduate's debt burden is not randomly assigned, we use an instrumental variable - enrollment-weighted average in-state tuition over four years - to estimate the effect of debt on post-baccalaureate outcomes while minimizing selection bias. We find that four years after graduating, undergraduate debt is related to borrowers' earnings, job choice, decisions to marry and have children, and net worth.
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Strengthening early childhood and school sector continuities in producing the lifelong learning in Aotearoa New Zealand.
Haggerty, Maggie; Loveridge, Judith.
Journal of Education Policy, v34 n1 p83-100 2019

Recent education policy analysis has revealed the standardisation of education systems and an intensified focus on learners and learning to meet the requirements of the global economy and neo-liberalism. In this paper we analyse the way that early childhood education in Aotearoa New Zealand has become increasingly entangled with school sector priorities and international discourses of lifelong learning as it has encountered these requirements. We trace the shift from an explict rejecting and countering of school sector pedagogy to the promoting of increasing continuity with school sector priorities. We draw attention to dynamic, contrasting and competing interests and entities that have shaped the construction of learning and learners and curriculum and assessment priorities. We argue the need to attend to the complex mix of constitutive forces at work in the formulation and enactment of early childhood sector priorities, in particular to these crucial entanglements with school sector priorities, international discourses of lifelong learning and neo-liberal economic rationalities.
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How education systems respond to cultural diversity in schools
Teaching in Focus, No. 25, OECD, 2019.
 
Today’s multicultural learning environments are both a challenge and an opportunity for countries. Education systems not only play a critical role in the integration of students from diverse cultural and ethnic backgrounds, but should also aim to have all students value diversity and contribute to the building of a diverse yet inclusive society as global citizens. TALIS 2018 survey questions on diversity are centred on the context of students’ experiences at both the school and classroom level. Therefore, this data is an opportunity to compare teachers’ and schools’ capacities to respond to these objectives, as well as to supplement the body of existing research on student outcomes and achievement. The insights from this data are one-of-a-kind, as they address a critical information gap in educational policy making.
 
Helping our youngest to learn and grow
OECD, 2019.
 
This report discusses policies and practices that shape quality and equity in early childhood education and care. It examines how the work environment, including the educational background of staff, and the policies that shape teaching approaches affect the quality of the education provided to our youngest learners. The book concludes with an overview of current thinking about how young children use, and are affected by, information and communication technologies (ICT). Linking the way children interact with ICT inside of school to the way they already use it outside of school could be the key to unlocking technology’s potential for learning. Children learn at a faster rate during the first five years of their life than at any other time, developing cognitive, and social and emotional skills that are fundamental to their future achievements and well-being throughout childhood and as adults. Despite compelling evidence that high quality early childhood education and care programmes can make a crucial difference to children’s progress through school and success in adult life, large differences in access to and the quality of these programmes persist within and across countries.
 
Returns to investment in education: a decennial review of the global literature
by Psacharopoulos, George and Patrinos, Harry Anthony
Education Economics. Oct2018, Vol. 26 Issue 5, p445-458. 14p. 4 Charts, 9 Graphs. 
 
In the 60-plus year history of returns to investment in education estimates, there have been several compilations in the literature. This paper updates Psacharopoulos and Patrinos and reviews the latest trends and patterns based on 1120 estimates in 139 countries from 1950 to 2014. The private average global return to a year of schooling is 9% a year. Private returns to higher education increased, raising issues of financing and equity. Social returns to schooling remain high. Women continue to experience higher average returns to schooling, showing that girls’ education remains a priority. 
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Financial Stability
Why does the United Kingdom have inconsistent preferences on financial regulation? The case of banking and capital markets.
by Neanidis, Kyriakos C.
Journal of Financial Stability, February 2019 40:77-93
 
In this paper, we examine the links among banking supervision, the volatility of financial flows, and economic growth. In particular, we explore whether banking regulation mitigates the adverse effects of capital flows volatility on economic growth. Using cross-country data over four decades, we find that banking supervision promotes economic growth by dampening the negative impact of volatile capital flows. The findings hold for both aggregate capital flows and its various components, and for both its net and gross counterparts, while they are also robust for various indicators of regulatory policies. The results support the argument that bank regulatory policy rules designed to ensure financial stability are beneficial to long-run economic growth.
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Volatile capital flows and economic growth: The role of banking supervision
by Kyriakos C. Neanidis
Journal of Financial Stability February 2019 40:77-93

In this paper, we examine the links among banking supervision, the volatility of financial flows, and economic growth. In particular, we explore whether banking regulation mitigates the adverse effects of capital flows volatility on economic growth. Using cross-country data over four decades, we find that banking supervision promotes economic growth by dampening the negative impact of volatile capital flows. The findings hold for both aggregate capital flows and its various components, and for both its net and gross counterparts, while they are also robust for various indicators of regulatory policies. The results support the argument that bank regulatory policy rules designed to ensure financial stability are beneficial to long-run economic growth.
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Mandatory Savings: the saviour of New Zealand's welfare state.
by Robert MacCulloch
Policy Quarterly; Feb2019, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p23-29, 7p

New Zealand faces an impending cost spiral of public spending on healthcare and pensions, as well as ongoing and substantial payments to those out of work. None of the solutions conventionally proffered, such as generating markedly higher productivity growth or levying significantly higher taxes, seems plausible. Mandatory savings accounts, however, offer more promise. Ending unnecessary transfer payments to businesses and wealthy individuals would allow health, out-of-work and retirement savings accounts to be set up and funded for all individuals. This policy change could secure the future welfare needs of low earners, enhancing opportunity, dignity, choice and fair treatment. It would also alleviate fiscal pressures, encourage efficiency gains and reduce wealth inequality.
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Financial Regulation: Still Unsettled a Decade after the Crisis
by Daniel K. Tarullo
Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2019, 33, 1, 61.

A decade after the darkest moments of the financial crisis, both the US financial system and the legal framework for its regulation are still in flux. The post-crisis regulatory framework has made systemically important banks much more resilient. They are substantially better capitalized and less dependent on runnable short-term funding. But the current regulatory framework does not deal effectively with threats to financial stability outside the perimeter of regulated banking organizations, notably from forms of shadow banking. Moreover, with the political tide having for the moment turned decisively toward deregulation, there is some question whether the resiliency improvements of the largest banks will be preserved. This article assesses the accomplishments, unfinished business, and outstanding issues in the post-crisis approach to prudential regulation.
Finance and Jobs: How Financial Markets and Prudential Regulation Shape Unemployment Dynamics
by Ekkehard Ernst
Journal of Risk and Financial Management, 2019, 12, 1, 1.

This article explores the impact of financial market regulation on jobs. It argues that understanding the impact of finance on labor markets is key to an understanding of the trade-off between economic stability and financial sector growth. The article combines information on labor market flows with indicators of financial market development and reforms to assess the implications of financial markets on employment dynamics directly, using information from the International Labour Organization (ILO) datatabse on unemployment flows. On the basis of a matching model of the labor market, it analyses the economic, institutional, and policy determinants of unemployment in- and out-flows. Against a set of basic controls, we present evidence regarding the relationship between financial sector development and reforms and their impact on unemployment dynamics. Using scenario analysis, the article demonstrates the importance of broad financial sector re-regulation to stabilize unemployment inflows and to promote faster employment growth. In particular, we find that encompassing financial sector regulation, had it been in place prior to the global financial crisis in 2008, would have helped a faster recovery in jobs.
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Central banks’ preferences and banking sector vulnerability
by G. Levieuge
Journal of Financial Stability February 2019 40:110-131

According to “Schwartz's conventional wisdom” and what has been called “divine coincidence”, price stability should imply macroeconomic and financial stability. However, in light of the global financial crisis, with monetary policy focused on price stability, scholars have held that banking and financial risks were largely unaddressed. According to this alternative view, the belief in divine coincidence turns out to be benign neglect. The objective of this paper is to test Schwartz's hypothesis against the benign neglect hypothesis. The priority assigned to the inflation goal is proxied by the central banks’ conservatism (CBC) index proposed by Levieuge and Lucotte (2014), here extended to a large sample of 73 countries from 1980 to 2012. Banking sector vulnerability is measured by six alternative indicators that are frequently employed in the literature on early warning systems. Our results indicate that differences in monetary policy preferences robustly explain cross-country differences in banking vulnerability and validate the benign neglect hypothesis, in that a higher level of CBC implies a more vulnerable banking sector.
Foresight
Open radar groups: The integration of online communities into open foresight processes
by Michael A. Zeng
Technological Forecasting and Social Change, 2019, 138, C, 204.

Monitoring a huge number of information sources and scanning the relevant environment are the basis for every foresight process. Since this endeavor is a complex task, it is necessary to find an efficient solution to do so. Based on foresight workshops with ‘Radar Groups’ – similar to focus groups –, Delphi studies, and netnographies of online communities, we develop a pragmatic foresight process. Since we integrate online communities as information sources in our foresight process, we call this ‘open foresight’. This open foresight process focuses upon the topic ‘Aviation 2040’ and is executed with aviation experts and an online community in two steps. This research setting enabled us to show (1) differences and similarities in future assessments and foresight capabilities between experts and online communities and (2) how to efficiently integrate online communities into foresight processes. Combining insights from experts and community members and, in doing so, moving towards ‘Open Radar Groups’ seems to be a beneficial way for conducting foresight and enriching companies' knowledge base.
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Global food systems: Can foresight learn from hindsight?
by Karen Brooks
Global Food Security March 2019 20:66-71

Construction of plausible scenarios for alternative futures of global food systems requires an understanding of how the past led to the present, and the past's likely relevance to the future. Policy actions affected the past, but are very difficult to foresee. Among those that most shaped global food systems in the last half century are measures that fostered productivity growth, expansion of trade, and the interlinkage of agricultural and environmental policies. Scenarios for global food systems, including those using the quantitative tools of the CGIAR's Global Futures and Strategic Foresight modeling approach, explore alternative assumptions in these three areas, among others. Hindsight can inform foresight by highlighting key elements of the past and forcing transparent examination of whether and how these elements will shape the future.
Futures Study in Health: A Review Study
by Behrooz Pouragha
Journal of Evidence Based Health Policy, Management & Economics, Vol 2, Iss 4, Pp 290-296 (2018)

Background: Future is being continuously created at any moment and never stops. By reviewing the future, it can be discovered, evaluated and assessed to create desirable future. The health sector is daily faced with a variety of threats at different environmental, social, cultural, economic and political scales. To deal efficiently with these threats, it is necessary to use the future as an opportunity to promote people's health by investigating, anticipating and building it, and managing it properly. Therefore, this review was conducted with the aim of determining the domains and methods of future studies in the health sector. Methods: In this review article, searching was performed by terms futures study or forecasting or fore sighting and health sector in four databases consisting of Two Persian databases Magiran and the Scientific Information Database and Two English ones Google Scholar and PubMed. In the first search, 531 articles were selected and retrieved. After the titles and abstracts were read and duplicate articles were excluded, and then the full texts of the remaining articles were reviewed, seven articles were included in the final analysis. Results: The results of studies in the health sector show that future studies is an important tool and evidence for policy makers in almost all areas of the health system's functions, such as determining the amount and types of services needed, training specialists and other health sector’s staff, allocating funds, the number of beds and other facilities, developing and constructing of hospital wards, etc. Conclusion: The results of studies in the health sector indicate that futures study provide important tools and evidence for policymakers in almost all areas of the health system's functions, such as determining the amount and types of services needed, allocating funds, number of beds, expansion of hospital departments, technology requirements, the impact of policies and programs.
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Health 
The impact of financial incentives on health and health care: Evidence from a large wellness program 
by Liran Einav
Health Economics, 2019, 28, 2, 261.

Workplace wellness programs have become increasingly common in the United States, although there is not yet consensus regarding the ability of such programs to improve employees' health and reduce health care costs. In this paper, we study a program offered by a large U.S. employer that provides substantial financial incentives directly tied to employees' health. The program has a high participation rate among eligible employees, around 80%, and we analyze the data on the first 4 years of the program, linked to health care claims. We document robust improvements in employee health and a correlation between certain health improvements and reductions in health care cost. Despite the latter association, we cannot find direct evidence causally linking program participation to reduced health care costs, although it seems plausible that such a relationship will arise over longer horizons.
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THE EFFECT OF PARENTAL MEDICAID EXPANSIONS ON CHILDREN'S HEALTH INSURANCE COVERAGE. 
by Sarah Hamersma
Contemporary Economic Policy; Apr2019, Vol. 37 Issue 2, p297-311, 15p

Research on public health insurance expansions has typically focused on those targeted by the expansions; we estimate the spillover effects of parental Medicaid expansions on the insurance coverage of their children. Expanding parental Medicaid eligibility may increase participation by already‐eligible, uninsured children by increasing the value of Medicaid enrollment for the entire family. However, parental expansions may also generate crowd out from private coverage. Using the Survey of Income and Program Participation during a period of major parental Medicaid expansions, we find substantial effects of the expansions on the Medicaid participation of children, with evidence of crowd out among some subsamples.
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Reputations count: why benchmarking performance is improving health care across the world. 
by Gwyn Bevan
Health Economics, Policy & Law; Apr2019, Vol. 14 Issue 2, p141-161, 21p

This paper explores what motivates improved health care performance. Previously, many have thought that performance would either improve via choice and competition or by relying on trust and altruism. But neither assumption is supported by available evidence. So instead we explore a third approach of reciprocal altruism with sanctions for unacceptably poor performance and rewards for high performance. These rewards and sanctions, however, are not monetary, but in the form of reputational effects through public reporting of benchmarking of performance. Drawing on natural experiments in Italy and the United Kingdom, we illustrate how public benchmarking can improve poor performance at the national level through 'naming and shaming' and enhance good performance at the sub-national level through 'competitive benchmarking' and peer learning. Ethnographic research in Zambia also showed how reputations count. Policy-makers could use these effects in different ways to improve public services.
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Public Preferences for Health Gains and Cures: A Discrete Choice Experiment 
by G. Hampson
Consulting Reports, 2019.

Whether or not society values curative therapies more highly (or less highly) than the sum of the iterative improvements that might come from conventional therapy has been highlighted as an important area for research. The aim of this research was thus to explore society's preferences across curative and non-curative therapies and large and small health gains, via a discrete choice experiment. We find that respondents value health gains highly but do not appear to place additional value on the treatment being a "cure" per se. However, we use a very specific definition of a cure (treatments that restore patients to normal life expectancy and full quality of life), and therefore suggest that our results are taken with caution. Treatments that offer sizeable health gains, but do not necessarily restore health to that of a 'healthy' individual, would no doubt be of significant social value given the preferences of our respondents for larger health gains. This reflects the benefits offered by some advanced therapy medicinal products, which have the potential to result in substantial health benefits but may not entirely restore patients to the health of a disease-free individual. This study was funded by the Association of the British Pharmaceutical Industry.
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Incorporating concerns for equity into health resource allocation. A guide for practitioners 
by James Love-Koh
Centre for Health Economics Working Papers, 2019.

Unfair differences in health care access, quality or health outcomes exist between and within countries around the world, and improving health equity is an important social objective for many governments and international organizations. This paper summaries the methods for analysing health equity available to policymakers regarding the allocation of health sector resources.
 
Impacts of the ACA Medicaid expansion on health behaviors: Evidence from household panel data 
by Chad Cotti
Health Economics, 2019, 28, 2, 219.

A motivation for increasing health insurance coverage is to improve health outcomes for impacted populations. However, health insurance coverage may alternatively increase risky health behaviors due to ex ante moral hazard, and past research on this issue has led to mixed conclusions. This paper uses a panel of household purchases to estimate the effects of the recent state‐level Medicaid expansions resulting from the Affordable Care Act (ACA) on consumption goods that present adverse health risks. We utilize within‐household variation to identify whether increases in Medicaid availability impacted household purchase patterns of alcohol, nicotine‐related, snack food, and carbonated beverage products. Overall, we find little evidence that the ACA Medicaid expansion led to ex ante moral hazard across any of these products, but we find compelling evidence that the Medicaid expansions reduced cigarette consumption and increased smoking cessation product use among the Medicaid‐eligible population.
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Does government expenditure reduce inequalities in infant mortality rates in low- and middle-income countries?: A time-series, ecological analysis of 48 countries from 1993 to 2013. 
by Peter Baker
Health Economics, Policy & Law; Apr2019, Vol. 14 Issue 2, p249-273, 25p

Inequalities in infant mortality rates (IMRs) are rising in some low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) and decreasing in others, but the explanation for these divergent trends is unclear. We investigate whether government expenditures and redistribution are associated with reductions in inequalities in IMRs. We estimated country-level fixed-effects panel regressions for 48 LMICs (142 country observations). Slope and Relative Indices of Inequality in IMRs (SII and RII) were calculated from Demographic and Health Surveys between 1993 and 2013. RII and SII were regressed on government expenditure (total, health and non-health) and redistribution, controlling for gross domestic product (GDP), private health expenditures, a democracy indicator, country fixed effects and time. Mean SII and RII was 39.12 and 0.69, respectively. In multivariate models, a 1 percentage point increase in total government expenditure (% of GDP) was associated with a decrease in SII of -2.468 [95% confidence intervals (CIs): -4.190, -0.746] and RII of -0.026 (95% CIs: -0.048, -0.004). Lower inequalities were associated with higher non-health government expenditure, but not higher government health expenditure. Associations with inequalities were non-significant for GDP, government redistribution, and private health expenditure. Understanding how non-health government expenditure reduces inequalities in IMR, and why health expenditures may not, will accelerate progress towards the Sustainable Development Goals.
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Can productivity growth measures identify best performing hospitals? Evidence from the English National Health Service. 
by María José Aragón Aragón
Health Economics; Mar2019, Vol. 28 Issue 3, p364-372, 9p

Health-care systems around the world face limited financial resources, and England is no exception. The ability of the health-care system in England to operate within its financial resources depends in part on continually increasing its productivity. One means of achieving this is to identify and disseminate throughout the system the most efficient processes. We examine the annual productivity growth achieved by 151 hospitals over five financial years, using the same methods developed to measure productivity of the National Health Service as a whole. We consider whether there are hospitals that consistently achieve higher than average productivity growth. These could act as examples of good practice for others to follow and provide a means of increasing system performance. We find that the productivity growth of some hospitals over the whole period exhibits better than average performance, but there is little or no evidence of consistency in the performance of these hospitals over adjacent years. Even the best performers exhibit periods of very poor performance and vice versa. We therefore conclude that accepted methods of measuring productivity growth for the health system as a whole do not appear suitable for identifying good performance at the hospital level.
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A scoping review of metamodeling applications and opportunities for advanced health economic analyses. 
by K. Degeling
Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research; Apr2019, Vol. 19 Issue 2

Metamodels, also known as meta-models, surrogate models, or emulators, are used in several fields of research to negate runtime issues with analyzing computational demanding simulation models. This study introduces metamodeling and presents results of a review on metamodeling applications in health economics. Areas covered: A scoping review was performed to identify studies that applied metamodeling methods in a health economic context. After search and selection, 13 publications were found to employ metamodeling methods in health economics. Metamodels were used to perform value of information analysis (n = 5, 38%), deterministic sensitivity analysis (n = 4, 31%), model calibration (n = 1, 8%), probabilistic sensitivity analysis (n = 1), or optimization (n = 1, 8%). One study was found to extrapolate a simulation model to other countries (n = 1, 8%). Applied metamodeling techniques varied considerably between studies, with linear regression being most frequently applied (n = 7, 54%). Expert commentary: Although it has great potential to enable computational demanding analyses of health economic models, metamodeling in health economics is still in its infancy, as illustrated by the limited number of applications and the relatively simple metamodeling methods applied. Comprehensive guidance specific to health economics is needed to provide modelers with the information and tools needed to utilize the full potential of metamodels.
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Did we see it coming? An Evaluation of the Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System 
by Irene Eriksson
Applied Health Economics and Health Policy, 2019, 17, 1, 93.

Early awareness and alert systems have been established in many countries but evidence on their ability to accurately prioritize new medicines (for early assessment) is limited. 
The purpose of this study was to assess whether the Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System identified and prioritized (i.e., produced early assessment reports for) new medicines that would go on to have substantial economic impact. 
We adapted a study design commonly used in the assessment of diagnostic test accuracy. The prioritization made by the Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System prior to marketing authorization comprised the index test and the national drug sales data in the second year post-authorization served as the reference standard. All initial marketing authorization applications for medicinal products processed by the European Medicines Agency between 2010 and 2015 (study population) were classified using the index test and the reference standard. 
Two hundred and fifty-three new medicinal products processed by the European Medicines Agency comprised the study population. Of these, 71 were prioritized by the Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System and 21 were classified as having substantial economic impact. The sensitivity and positive predictive value were 76.2% and 22.5%, respectively. Subgroup analyses showed that the accuracy of prioritization, in terms of sensitivity, was 100% for antineoplastic/immunomodulating agents.
The Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System identified all new medicines that would go on to have substantial economic impact and prioritized most of these medicines. Our findings provide reassurance to decision makers who rely on the outputs of the Swedish Early Awareness and Alert System to keep informed about new medicines. Moreover, this study also provides valuable insights to stakeholders willing to establish or evaluate their own early awareness and alert activities and systems.
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Housing
Residential income segregation: A behavioral model of the housing market
by Marco Pangallo
Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization March 2019 159:15-35

We represent the functioning of the housing market and study the relation between income segregation, income inequality and house prices by introducing a spatial Agent-Based Model (ABM). Differently from traditional models in urban economics, we explicitly specify the behavior of buyers and sellers and the price formation mechanism. Buyers who differ by income select among heterogeneous neighborhoods using a probabilistic model of residential choice; sellers employ an aspiration level heuristic to set their reservation offer price; prices are determined through a continuous double auction. We first provide an approximate analytical solution of the ABM, shedding light on the structure of the model and on the effect of the parameters. We then simulate the ABM and find that: (i) a more unequal income distribution lowers the prices globally, but implies stronger segregation; (ii) a spike in demand in one part of the city increases the prices all over the city; (iii) subsidies are more efficient than taxes in fostering social mixing.
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A conceptual analysis of social housing as infrastructure
Flanagan, K., Martin, C., Jacobs, K. and Lawson, J.
AHURI Final Report No. 309, 2019.
 
This study into the role of social housing as essential infrastructure assessed evaluation tools and techniques needed to enable investment by government. Cost-benefit analyses and business case preparation provide a means to quantify productivity, while the broader range of societal outcomes also needs to be considered.
 
On the Directional Accuracy of United States Housing Starts Forecasts: Evidence from Survey Data.
by Tim Meyer
Journal of Real Estate Finance & Economics; Apr2019, Vol. 58 Issue 3, p457-488, 32p

I use data from both the Survey of Professional Forecasters and the Livingston Survey to study the directional accuracy of United States housing starts forecasts. Using elements of relative operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, I find that forecasts contain information with respect to subsequent changes in housing starts. Estimates for both surveys are significant at all forecast horizons and robust across time and across forecasters. Implications for the usage of housing starts forecasts from survey data are discussed.
Loan-to-Value Ratio Restrictions and House Prices: Micro Evidence from New Zealand
by Jed Armstrong
Journal of Housing Economics Apr 2018:1621

This paper contributes to the international policy debate on the effect of macroprudential policy on housing-market dynamics. We use detailed New Zealand housing market data to evaluate the effect of loan-to-value ratio (LTV) restrictions on house prices. Our identification relies on the exemption for new builds from the LTV restrictions implemented during 2013 – 2016 by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. The empirical findings suggest that the LTV policy is effective at reducing house price inflation by limiting the credit-fuelled housing demand channel. The magnitude and duration of the policy effect depend crucially on the rate of house price growth at the time when the policy is implemented. When house prices are increasing quickly, the effect of LTV on house prices tends to be muted and short-lived.
OECD Regional Outlook 2019
Leveraging Megatrends for Cities and Rural Areas.
OECD, 2019.
 
Large and persistent inequalities in regional economic performance within countries exist throughout the OECD. The 2019 Regional Outlook discusses the underlying causes of economic disparities across regions and highlights the need for place-based policies to address them. The report makes the case that place-based policies are especially important in light of growing public discontent with the economic, social and political status quo in many regions. The geographical patterns of public discontent are closely related to the degree of regional inequalities and policies to address public discontent need to have a place-based dimension. Place-based policies will become even more important in the future due to several technological, demographic and environmental megatrends. This Regional Outlook emphasises that all regions will be affected by these megatrends, but their effects will vary from region to region, even within the same country. Appropriate policy responses need to take this diversity into account and should be tailored to the region-specific impacts of global megatrends. Insofar as possible, this Regional Outlook presents steps that policy makers can take today to make the next generation of regional policies fit for the future.
 
Inequality / Poverty
Well-being, Political Decentralisation and Governance Quality in Europe.
by Andrés Rodríguez-Pose
Journal of Human Development & Capabilities; Feb2019, Vol. 20 Issue 1, p69-93, 25p

European nations allocate public sector resources with the general aim of increasing the well-being and welfare of their citizens through a fair and efficient distribution of these public goods and services. However, "who" delivers these goods and services and "how well" they are delivered are essential in determining outcomes in terms of well-being. Drawing on data from the European Social Survey database, this paper uses Amartya Sen's social welfare index framework—accounting for the trade-off between the maximization of public sector resources and an equitable distribution of these resources—to examine the influence of political decentralisation ("who" delivers the resources) and whether this influence is moderated by governance quality ("how well" they are delivered) on individual subjective well-being. The findings of the econometric analysis reveal that decentralisation does not always lead to higher well-being, as the benefits of political decentralisation are highly mediated by the quality of national governance. In countries with high governance quality, political decentralisation results in a greater satisfaction with health provision, while in lower quality governance countries, a more decentralized government can increase the overall satisfaction with life, the economy, government, democracy and the provision of education, but not necessarily with health-related services.
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The retrenchment of public pension provision in the liberal world of welfare during the age of austerity—and its unexpected reversal, 1980–2017.
by Paul Bridgen
Social Policy & Administration; Jan2019, Vol. 53 Issue 1, p16-33, 18p, 2 Charts, 6 Graphs

Pension system adaption during the "age of austerity" since 1980 is expected to vary between industrialized countries broadly in line with their membership of conservative, liberal, or social democratic worlds of welfare. Empirical testing on the liberal world focuses on the later period and differs in its conclusions. This paper is based on a systematic study of the scale, nature, and trajectory of change in six liberal pension systems between 1980 and 2017 using expenditure, economic, demographic, and social rights data. These data are analysed using a framework developed through critical engagement with Pierson's three welfare state change criteria and the welfare state "dependent variable problem." The paper finds a significant retrenchment of public pension provision in most liberal welfare states after 1980 but largely during the first half of the period. This has been partly reversed in most countries since the mid‐1990s, though the scale of this reversal varies between countries. The recent rise of the state in liberal systems has been noted by some commentators, but to be properly understood, the paper argues, it must be considered in the context of the significant retrenchment, which preceded it. There is a scope especially for research on the broader social context of recent reforms, particularly how middle‐income groups were affected by retrenchment and how recent reforms have mitigated this.
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The Truly Vulnerable: Integrating Wealth into the Measurement of Poverty and Social Policy Effectiveness.
by Sarah Kuypers
Social Indicators Research. Feb2019, Vol. 141 Issue 3, p131-147. 17p. 7 Charts, 2 Graphs.

There is a burgeoning literature on wealth in the rich world. It mainly focuses on the top. This paper shows that assets can also matter for the analysis of poverty and financial vulnerability. We introduce the concept of triple precariousness, afflicting households that not only have low income but also very low or non-existent assets to draw on for consumption needs, especially liquid assets. We ask whether these households—whom we might call the truly vulnerable—have different characteristics from those that we identify as poor or needy on the basis of income based metrics. This study looks in detail at Belgium, a country that represents a particularly interesting case because households are known to have levels of household wealth that are among the highest in the Eurozone, especially around and below the median, and yet it also has a comparatively high poverty rate, measured using disposable household income, as is commonly done in poverty studies. Drawing on HFCS data, we show that households with a reference person that is young, unemployed, low educated, migrant, single, and above all a tenant are especially financially vulnerable. By contrast, our assessment of the extent and depth of financial need among the elderly—a segment of society that is at a relatively high risk of income poverty—also changes. A substantial share of income poor elderly households own significant assets. We draw out some tentative consequences of these findings for anti-poverty and redistributive policies.
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The Case for a Targeted Criticism of the Welfare State
by Leszek Balcerowicz
Cato Journal, Winter 2018, v. 38, iss. 1, pp. 1-16.
 
Policies, including institutional reforms, are actions of politicians that result from the interplay of various factors. For example, windfall gains in various forms (oil bonanzas and sudden reductions in the interest rates) reduce politicians’ and the public’s incentives for fiscal consolidation and encourage the growth in public spending. In contrast, some crises may even force the non-reformers in power to do what they blocked before. Differences in the personalities of ruling politicians also matter-for example, there would have been far fewer or no fundamental reforms in Britain if it was not for Prime Minister Thatcher. There are complex interactions between situational variables, personality factors, and interest groups (Balcerowicz 2015). In the following, we will focus on the last factor.
Interest groups can be divided into statist and anti-statist. The former are driven by ideological or pecuniary motivations and aim at keeping an expanded state or even increasing the scope of interventionism. The latter, on the other hand, aim at reducing the scope of the state and are motivated by their beliefs in the value of individual freedom, the rule of law, and limited government. One of the reasons statists often prevail may be the simple fact that they include groups that are motivated by the prospects of pecuniary benefits (e.g., budgetary subsidies, tax preferences, and anti-competitive regulations) from expanding the size and scope of government.
However, statism does not need to prevail: much depends on the activity of the anti-statist groups and individuals. Let us, therefore, finish with some remarks on how these forces can better oppose the welfare state and press for reform...
Poverty is a Public Bad: Panel Evidence From Subjective Well‐Being Data.
by Heinz Welsch
Review of Income & Wealth; Mar2019, Vol. 65 Issue 1, p187-200, 14p.

Previous research has found that subjective well‐being (SWB) is lower for individuals classified as being in poverty. We extend the poverty‐SWB literature by focusing on aggregate poverty. Using panel data for 39,239 individuals living in Germany from 2005–2013, we show that people's SWB is negatively correlated with the regional (state‐level) poverty ratio while controlling for individual poverty status and poverty intensity. This suggests that poverty is a public bad. The negative relationship between aggregate poverty and SWB is more salient in the upper segments of the income distribution and is robust to controlling for the rate of unemployment and per capita GDP. The character of poverty as a public bad suggests that poverty alleviation is a matter not only of distributive justice, but of allocative efficiency.
Place value: place quality and its impact on health, social, economic and environmental outcomes.
by Matthew Carmona
Journal of Urban Design. Feb2019, Vol. 24 Issue 1, p1-48. 48p.

This paper explores the link between the quality of the built environment and its value, in health, social, economic and environmental terms. This is theorized as 'place value' which, alongside 'place quality', is conceptualized as existing within a virtuous loop in which quality dictates value and value defines quality. To test this, a systematic review brought together wide-ranging international research evidence. The work confirmed a range of definitive associations between the quality of place and its place derived value. It also makes a clear link back from the evidence on place value to the sorts of qualities that enhance or detract from that value. These, in turn, define the constituent elements of place quality.
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A Well-Being Indicator for the Italian Provinces.
by Giorgio Calcagnini
Social Indicators Research. Feb2019, Vol. 141 Issue 3, p149-177. 29p. 6 Charts, 4 Graphs, 1 Map.

In recent years, a significant number of papers has been published providing alternative measures of progress and well-being to Gross Domestic Product. Most of these papers differs in terms of their theoretical approach as well as their purpose and statistical methodology used to define what well-being is and how to measure it. In this paper, we construct a well-being indicator for the Italian provinces that shows a high degree of heterogeneity not only between the Northern and Southern Italian provinces, but also among adjacent provinces.
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Inequality and the marriage gap
Nawid Siassi
Review of Economic Dynamics, Volume 31 January 2019.
 
Marriage is one of the most important determinants of economic prosperity, yet most existing theories of inequality ignore the role of the family. This paper documents that the distributions of earnings and wealth are highly concentrated, even when disaggregated into single and married households. At the same time, there is a large marriage gap: married people earn on average 26 percent more income, and they hold 35 percent more net worth. To account for these facts, I develop a general equilibrium model where females and males face uninsurable income risk and make decisions on consumption-savings, labor supply and marriage formation. In a calibrated version of the model, I show that selection into marriage based on productive characteristics, an effective tax bonus for married couples, and stronger bequest motives for households with descendants are key to accounting for the marriage gap in earnings and wealth. A policy experiment of moving from joint tax filing for married couples to separate filing yields output gains and more marital sorting.
 
Labour market
Women's employment, segregation and skills in the future of work.
by David Peetz
Labour & Industry; Mar2019, Vol. 29 Issue 1, p132-148, 17p.

Discussion of the future of work has focused a lot on the type or number of jobs that new technology will create or destroy. Little consideration has been given to how gender fits into that. This article examines this by considering: (a) the automatability of male and female jobs; (b) employment projections for male and female jobs; (c) past and projected sex segregation of employment; and (d) past and projected skill levels of male and female jobs. Our analysis makes use of historical data and projections for the Australian and US labour markets. It appears that neither technological change nor other structural changes in labour markets are likely to especially disadvantage women. If anything, women's jobs are slightly more secure (or less insecure) than men's; there has been, and will be, an improvement in the skill levels of jobs held by women; and there has been a small reduction in average sex segregation. However, developments within specific industries are important and difficult to predict. In that respect, the information and communications technology (ICT) occupations go against the trend elsewhere, having experienced transformation in their gender composition that is reinforcing, rather than weakening, gender segmentation.
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Reframing the future of work: Future of work initiatives promise lots of noise and lots of activity, but to what end?
Schwartz, Jeff; Hagel, John; Wooll, Maggie; Monahan, Kelly; 
MIT Sloan Management Review. Feb2019. 
 
The article discusses the various future of work programs of many organizations, as well as their possible aims and objectives in launching said schemes. Also cited are how companies can successfully establish various types of value, the new tools used like artificial intelligence (AI), machine learning, and robotic process automation, as well as the three key drivers of future of work, namely, cost, meaning, and value.
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How AI can amplify human competencies
GOLDBERG, KEN; KLOTZ, FRIEDA
MIT Sloan Management Review. Winter2019, Vol. 60 Issue 2
 
An interview with Ken Goldberg, a professor in University of California is presented. Topics discussed include artificial intelligence systems as part of daily activities, the robotic technology he was working on with the idea of algorithms and the concept of multiplicity in machines which requires diversity.
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Policy response to new forms of work.
OECD, 2019.

This report provides a snapshot of the policy actions being taken by OECD, EU and G20 countries in response to growing diversity in forms of employment, with the aim of encouraging peer learning where countries are facing similar issues. It shows that many countries are reflecting on whether existing policies and institutions are capable of addressing effectively the current (and future) challenges of a rapidly changing world of work. In recent years, many countries have seen the emergence of, and/or growth in, particular labour contract types that diverge from the standard employment relationship (i.e. full-time dependent employment of indefinite duration). These include temporary and casual contracts, as well as own-account work and platform work. Several countries have also seen growth in false self-employment, where employers seek to evade tax and regulatory dues and obligations. These changes are driving policy makers worldwide to review how policies in different areas – labour market, skills development, social protection – can best respond. How can policymakers balance the flexibility offered by a diversity of employment contracts, on the one hand, with protection for workers and businesses, on the other?
 
 
Getting skills right: future-ready adult learning systems.
OECD, 2019.

With digitalisation, deepening globalisation and population ageing, the world of work is changing. The extent to which individuals, firms and economies can harness the benefits of these changes critically depends on the readiness of adult learning systems to help people develop relevant skills for this changing world of work. This report presents the key results from the Priorities for Adult Learning (PAL) Dashboard which facilitates comparisons between countries along seven dimensions of the readiness of adult learning systems to address future skill challenges. Based on the dashboard, the report highlights in which areas action is needed, and policy examples from OECD and emerging countries throughout the report illustrate how these actions could be implemented.
 
The quest for global monetary policy coordination
by Franco Bruni
Economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2019, 13, 1.

This paper puts forward a proposal to help monetary policies confront the challenge of the 'normalisation' of money creation and interest rates. The difficult unwinding of years of unorthodox policies put financial stability at risk in major monetary centres and in EMEs. The authors argue that global coordination is crucial to facing this challenge. They propose to convene appropriate official meetings to coordinate in an explicit, formal, and well-communicated way the process of normalisation and the discussions on the needed long-term changes in the strategy and institutional setting of monetary policies.
The Interplay between Liquidity Regulation, Monetary Policy Implementation and Financial Stability
by Todd Keister
Global Finance Journal, February 2019, v. 39, pp. 30-38

I outline a simple framework for thinking through how the Basel III liquidity regulations--in particular, the Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR)--will impact short-term interest rates and the process of monetary policy implementation. This framework suggests that a regulatory premium may arise in some market interest rates, creating a new wedge in the monetary transmission mechanism. I discuss ways in which a central bank could react to this new wedge, highlighting what may be a fundamental tension between implementing monetary policy effectively and using liquidity regulation to promote financial stability.
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Contributions of employment change to annual wage growth in New Zealand.
by Hyslop, Dean R; Rice, Amy.
Australian Economic Review. March 2019, Vol. 52 Issue 1, p107
 
 We analyse trends in average wage growth in New Zealand from 1997 to 2015, focusing on the contributions of within-group wage growth and employment compositional changes, and whether there have been secular or cyclical changes in these contributions. Real wage growth was mildly pro-cyclical over the period, and has been weaker during the recovery from the global financial crisis. We estimate that within-group wage growth dominated aggregate wage growth, and compositional changes provided only trivial contributions. Furthermore, within-group wage growth is primarily from constant composition wage growth, contributing on average 0.9 per cent to annual wage growth, while improvements in observable human capital characteristics of workers contributed 0.4 per cent on average.
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Returns to women's education using optimal IV selection.
by Jun Sung Kim
Applied Economics; Feb2019, Vol. 51 Issue 8, p815-830, 16p, 10 Charts

This paper investigates returns to women's education by applying an optimal IV selection approach, post-Lasso IV estimation, which improves the first-stage predictive relationship between an endogenous regressor and instruments. Using the 2010 American Community Survey, we find that an extra year of education increases married women's own income by $4,480 and spouse income by $8,822. Our findings indicate that 53% of the increase in women's consumption by education is attributed to the marriage market, and thus, we conclude that the marriage market is the primary channel through which education improves women's well-being. The results demonstrate the advantages of the post-Lasso approach: The resulting two-stage least squares estimator maintains efficiency without increasing finite sample bias and is less subject to the inconsistency problem when some instruments are invalid; This differs from the results using the instrument of birth quarters only, which is mostly applied in studies on returns to education.
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Labor market returns to college education with vocational qualifications.
Rzepka, Sylvi
Education Economics. Aug2018, Vol. 26 Issue 4, p411-431

In this paper, I assess labor market returns of a substantial skill upgrade: college enrollment of the vocationally trained, non-traditional students who do not have the formal entry requirement. Using propensity-score-adjusted regressions and the National Educational Panel Study, I find that these enrollees face high opportunity costs as they forgo earnings during the enrollment period. In the long-run, enrollees tend to obtain higher cumulative earnings than those who continue with a vocational-training-based career, but, there is a large degree of uncertainty. On the positive side, enrollees attain jobs with a higher reputation in society, hinting at sizable non-monetary returns.
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Macroeconomics
Who’s Afraid of Budget Deficits? How Washington Should End Its Debt Obsession.
by Jason Furman
Foreign Affairs, 01/03/2019, Vol. 98 Issue 2, p82-94, 12p.

The article focuses on the United States' annual budget deficit and how it impacts the national debt. The authors explore how the national debt impacts economic growth, examine the influence of interest rates, inflation, and global markets on deficits, and discuss the growing role of deficit fundamentalists.
What do we know about the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy? A brief survey of the literature on fiscal multipliers.
by Castelnuovo, Efrem; Lim, Guay
Australian Economic Review. March 2019, Vol. 52 Issue 1.
 
This article discusses recent research on the macroeconomic effects of fiscal policy-the theme of the 2018 edition of the Melbourne Institute Macroeconomic Policy Meeting. We review recent research findings on the effects of fiscal multipliers in normal times, during booms/busts, and in the presence of the zero lower bound. Studies on the effects of fiscal policy in open economy settings as well as contributions on the fiscal-monetary policy mix are also considered. We conclude by outlining a few research avenues that are particularly relevant from a policy standpoint.  
 
Economic Growth in the Long Run
by Robert Tamura
Journal of Development Economics, March 2019, v. 137, pp. 1-35.

We present new data on real output per worker, schooling per worker, human capital per worker, real physical capital per worker for 168 countries. The output data represent all available data from Maddison. The physical capital data represent all available data from Mitchell. One major contribution is a new data set of human capital per worker, the foundation of which comes mostly from Mitchell. We provide original estimates of schooling per worker and per young worker. Using standard Mincer human capital construction, we find that variation in inputs can explain about 46% of the variation in long run living standards using standard covariance accounting. With capital intensity covariance accounting, variation in inputs explains about 25% of the variation in long run living standards. With intergenerational human capital accumulation with or without spillovers, we find that variation in inputs can explain at least half of the long run variation in living standards.
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Sectoral composition of government spending, distortionary income taxation, and macroeconomic (in)stability.
by Chang, Juin‐Jen; Guo, Jang‐Ting; Shieh, Jhy‐Yuan; Wang, Wei‐Neng.
International Journal of Economic Theory. Mar2019, Vol. 15 Issue 1
 
This paper examines the interrelations between the sectoral composition of government spending and macroeconomic (in)stability in a two‐sector real business cycle model with positive productive externalities in investment and a balanced‐budget fiscal policy rule, whereby endogenous public expenditures are financed by the distortionary constant tax rate. Under the benchmark parameterization, our model always exhibits indeterminacy and sunspots provided the tax rate does not exceed a critical value. When the tax rate is raised to a higher level, a sufficiently high public‐consumption share can destabilize the macroeconomy by generating belief‐driven cyclical fluctuations. We also find that saddle‐path stability and equilibrium uniqueness will prevail when the household's labor supply elasticity is not higher than a threshold level. In addition, analytical proofs for each of the aforementioned quantitative results are provided.
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Political aspects of household finance: debt, wage bargaining, and macroeconomic (in)stability.
by Kim, Yun K.; Lima, Gilberto Tadeu; Setterfield, Mark
Journal of Post Keynesian Economics. 2019, Vol. 42 Issue 1.
 
The recent literature has shown that income inequality is one of the main causes of borrowing and debt accumulation by working households. This article explores the possibility that household indebtedness is an important cause of rising income inequality. If workers experience rising debt burdens, their cost of job loss may rise if they need labor-market income to continue borrowing and servicing existing debt. This, in turn, will reduce their bargaining power and increase income inequality, inducing workers to borrow more to maintain consumption standards, and so creating a vicious circle of rising inequality, job insecurity, and indebtedness. We believe that these dynamics may have contributed to observed simultaneous increases in income inequality and household debt prior to the recent financial crisis. To explore the two-way interaction between inequality and debt, we develop an employment rent framework that explicitly considers the impact of workers' indebtedness on their perceived cost of job loss. This is embedded in a neo-Kaleckian macro model in which inequality spurs debt accumulation that contributes to household consumption spending and hence demand formation. Our analysis suggests that (a) workers' borrowing behavior plays a crucial role in understanding the character of demand and growth regimes; (b) debt and workers' borrowing behavior play an important role in the labor market by influencing workers' bargaining power; and (c) through such channels, workers' borrowing behavior can be a decisive factor in the determination of macroeconomic (in)stability.
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Management / Leadership
The Future of Leadership Development.
by Mihnea Moldoveanu
Harvard Business Review; Mar/Apr2019, Vol. 97 Issue 2, p5-6, 2p

There is a growing recognition that leadership development should not be restricted to the few who are in or close to the C-suite. With the proliferation of collaborative problem-solving platforms and digital "adhocracies" that emphasize individual initiative, employees across the board are increasingly expected to make consequential decisions that align with corporate strategy and culture. It's important, therefore, that they be equipped with the relevant technical, relational, and communication skills.
The Feedback Fallacy. 
by Marcus Buckingham 
Harvard Business Review. Mar/Apr2019, Vol. 97 Issue 2, p92-101. 10p.

For years managers have been encouraged to candidly praise and criticize just about everything workers do. But it turns out that feedback does not help employees thrive. First, research shows that people can’t reliably rate the performance of others: More than 50% of your rating of someone reflects your characteristics, not hers. Second, neuroscience reveals that criticism provokes the brain’s “fight or flight” response and inhibits learning. Last, excellence looks different for each individual, so it can’t be defined in advance and transferred from one person to another. It’s also not the opposite of failure. Managers will never produce great performance by identifying what they think is failure and telling people how to correct it. Instead, when managers see a great outcome, they should turn to the person who created it, say, “Yes! That!,” and share their impression of why it was a success. Neuroscience shows that we grow most when people focus on our strengths. Learning rests on our grasp of what we’re doing well, not what we’re doing poorly, and certainly not on someone else’s sense of what we’re doing poorly.
 
 
Making sense of pragmatic and charismatic leadership stories: effects on vision formation
Watts, Logan L.; Steele, Logan M.; Mumford, Michael D.
Leadership Quarterly. Apr 2019, Vol. 30 Issue 2, p243-259. 17p. 
 
For some time, it has been argued that stories articulated by leaders are an important vehicle for exercising influence, but stories of leadership might also serve as a means for developing leadership potential. One critical activity involved in leadership is vision formation, which involves constructing and communicating a future state that guides followers in "making sense" of complex organizational events. Like leader visions, analyzing stories also, by nature, evokes sensemaking processes. As a result, analyzing stories of leadership may provide a natural means for practicing the art of sensemaking. In the present investigation, undergraduates were asked to read six short stories about incidents of either pragmatic or charismatic leadership in business settings. After reading each story, questions were asked to encourage sensemaking of story events, causes, and emotions. Participants were subsequently asked to formulate visions for leading a secondary school –– a transfer task. It was found that stronger visions were produced when participants were asked to analyze both story events and the causes of these events. The implications of these findings for the use of leadership stories in leader development initiatives are discussed.
 
Māori/Pacifika/Indigenous
The technical is political: settler colonialism and the Australian Indigenous policy system.
by Elizabeth Strakosch
Australian Journal of Political Science. Mar2019, Vol. 54 Issue 1, p114-130. 17p.

Contemporary Australian Indigenous policy changes rapidly and regularly fails to deliver its stated aims. Additionally, political and social relationships between Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples and the Australian state remain complex and contested. This article draws on critical Indigenous theory, alongside the increasingly influential scholarly paradigm of settler colonialism, to draw these two elements together. It highlights the ongoing nature of colonial conflict, and the partisan nature of state institutions and processes. While policy is usually framed as a depoliticised, technical practice of public management for Indigenous wellbeing, I suggest that it also seeks to 'domesticate' Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples, perform their dysfunction and demonstrate state legitimacy. This is especially the case in Australia, which has a long tradition of framing domestic welfare policy - rather than legal agreements - as the 'solution' to settler colonial conflict.
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The prevalence and protective factors for resilience in adolescent Aboriginal Australians living in urban areas: a cross‐sectional study.
by Christian Young
Australian & New Zealand Journal of Public Health; Feb2019, Vol. 43 Issue 1, p8-14, 7p

Objectives: To estimate the prevalence and determine protective factors for resilience in urban Aboriginal adolescents. Methods: Cross‐sectional survey data was collected from 119 Aboriginal adolescents participating in the Study of Environment on Aboriginal Resilience and Child Health (SEARCH). Resilience was defined as having 'low‐risk' Strengths and Difficulties Questionnaire scores on the total difficulties (range: 0–40) or the prosocial scale (range: 0–10). Results: Most adolescents scored in the low‐risk range of the total difficulties (n=85, 73%) and prosocial scales (101, 86%). Family encouragement to attend school was associated with a 4.3‐point reduction in total difficulties scores (95%CI, 0.22–8.3). Having someone to talk to if there was a problem and regular strenuous exercise were associated with higher scores on the prosocial behaviour scale, increasing scores by 1.2 (95%CI, 0.45–2.0) and 1.3 (95%CI, 0.26–2.3) points, respectively. Conclusions: Most adolescents in SEARCH displayed resilience. Resilience was associated with nurturing family environments, social support and regular exercise. Implications for public health: Our data accords with previous research that demonstrates resilience, but also a higher prevalence of emotional and behaviour problems among Aboriginal youth. Supporting Aboriginal young people to build resilience may promote better mental health outcomes leading to important public health benefits.
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The Ngātahi Project: competency development for the vulnerable children's workforce.
by Russell Wills
Policy Quarterly. Feb2019, Vol. 15 Issue 1, p73-79. 7p.

Ngātahi is a three-year project aiming to identify and embed the additional competencies needed for the children's workforce to work with families experiencing intimate partner violence, child abuse and neglect, mental illness, addictions, poverty and poor supports. Māori tamariki (children) and whānau are over-represented in this client group. Collective impact, appreciative inquiry and a robust tikanga inform the project. A formal Treaty of Waitangi partnership with the local iwi, Ngāti Kahungunu, provides cultural leadership at all levels of the project. Twenty-seven agencies or services representing 441 practitioners have engaged in the project in Hawke's Bay. The three priorities for competency development identified are: engaging effectively with Māori (EEWM), mental health and addictions (MHA) and trauma-informed practice (TIP). Within the TIP work stream, addressing practitioners' burnout, fatigue and vicarious trauma is the first priority. The three work streams are currently developing curricula and identifying leaders to deliver training locally, and delivering activities to embed the new competencies into practice and metrics to demonstrate the impact of the new competencies on practice and on outcomes. Qualitative interviews demonstrate high commitment from the workforce and its leaders, consistent priorities for development of additional competencies and important lessons learnt. We suggest that this model may be helpful for policymakers considering other collaborative activities to address 'wicked' or complex problems, and offer some lessons learnt to date.
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Migration
Migrant, interrupted: The temporalities of 'staggered' migration from Asia to Australia.
by Shanthi Robertson
Current Sociology; Mar2019, Vol. 67 Issue 2, p169-185, 17p

The mobilities of increasing numbers of 'middling' migrants from Asia to Australia involve complex trajectories that encompass multiple transitions across statuses and places as well as ambiguities around temporariness and permanence. This article argues that during these 'staggered' migrations, intersections between multiple 'timescales' – institutional, biographic and everyday – produce specific experiences of time for migrants that interrupt teleological imaginaries of both life transitions and migration outcomes. Drawing on data from in-depth narrative interviews with middling migrants, this article focuses on two such temporal experiences, 'contingent temporality' and 'indentured temporality', and seeks to demonstrate how these experiences are produced through the overlaps and intersections of institutional, biographical and everyday timescales. The article seeks to advance empirical understandings of the temporalities of new forms of migrant mobility between Asia and Australia, as well as to contribute new conceptual approaches to scholarship on migration and time.
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'My language, my identity': negotiating language use and attitudes in the New Zealand Fiji Indian diaspora.
by Marianne Hundt
Asian Englishes; Mar2019, Vol. 21 Issue 1, p2-21, 20p

One result of colonial and post-colonial migration is the development of large diaspora communities. The Indian diaspora is currently one of the largest world-wide. Over 20 million people of Indian descent live outside of India, many of them in an English-speaking country. Maintenance of the heritage language and use of the majority language are important aspects of identity construction among members of such diaspora communities. Matters become more complex for twice-migrants, i.e. in situations where movement to a secondary diaspora has become necessary. This paper takes up these issues in a case study on the Fiji Indian diaspora in Wellington, New Zealand. Based on data from sociolinguistic interviews, it looks at discursive identity construction around the notion of language use and attitudes towards different languages and their varieties. An important aspect turns out to be the positioning of Fiji Indians not only vis-à-vis speakers of the host community but also relative to Indian migrants who have come to New Zealand directly from the Indian subcontinent.
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''I know my roots are Indian but my thinking is Kiwi': hybridisation, identity and 'Indians' in New Zealand. 
by Yasmin Hussain
South Asian Diaspora; Mar2019, Vol. 11 Issue 1, p1-15, 15p

This article explores identity among the South Asian diaspora in New Zealand. Using data from qualitative interviews with South Asian New Zealanders, it argues that analyses of hybridity need to consider different varieties of hybridisation in relation to ethnicity, religion, language and national identity. South Asian identities may be hybridised with 'Kiwi' identity variously represented as values, idealised citizenship and a White Western lifestyle. The data analysed in the paper demonstrate the independence and salience of religious as distinct from ethnic identities in the South Asian diaspora in New Zealand. Hybridisation results, in part, from a conscious strategy on the part of parents who encourage children to identify with their ethnic origins, language, nation and religion.
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A call to action: transforming the global refugee system
World Refugee System
Centre for International Governance Innovation
7 March 2019.
 
The global refugee system is facing pressing challenges as a result of ineffective governance, a lack of political will, insufficient and inefficient financing, and an absence of accountability. As of June 2018, 68.5 million people were forcibly displaced, including 40 million IDPs and 25.4 million refugees. In recognition of the urgent need to fill gaps in the international protection system for refugees and IDPs, the United Nations General Assembly unanimously adopted the New York Declaration for Refugees and Migrants on September 19, 2016. Member states agreed to work toward the adoption of a Global Compact on Refugees (GCR) and a Global Compact for Safe, Orderly and Regular Migration (GCM).
The WRC was launched in May 2017 by CIGI to complement the GCR process and in recognition of the need to work beyond the confines of the UN system to enact transformative systemic change through a series of recommendations supported by a wide range of actors and institutions. The WRC consulted with hundreds of experts from around the world, including civil society, private sector and government actors; refugees and other forcibly displaced persons; and representatives of international and regional organizations...
The Council commissioned more than 20 papers on topics including financing for host states, accountability, gender equality, the impact of hosting refugees, xenophobia, cities and refugees, political will, responsibility sharing, governance, durable solutions, refugee entrepreneurship, IDPs, technology, youth engagement and other research areas relevant to refugees and IDPs. This scholarship informed the deliberations of the Council and the recommendations put forward in this report. The Council’s diverse expertise and its concerted efforts to engage with key stakeholders have given the Council a unique opportunity to create an actionable vision for a well-functioning global refugee and IDP system.
 
Natural Resources
Trade Openness, Urbanization and CO2 Emissions: Dynamic Panel Data Analysis of Middle-Income Countries.
by Zhike Lv
Journal of International Trade and Economic Development, April 2019, v. 28, iss. 3, pp. 317-30

Using the Pooled Mean Group (PMG) approach of Pesaran, Shin, and Smith [1999. "Pooled Mean Group Estimation of Dynamic Heterogeneous Panels." Journal of the American Statistical Association 94 (446): 621-634], this article attempts to empirically examine the heterogeneous effects of trade openness and urbanization on CO2 emissions in 55 middle-income countries over the period from 1992 to 2012. We find that trade openness has a benign effect on the environment in the short run, but a harmful effect in the long run. Meanwhile, our results show that urbanization has a negative and significant impact on CO2 emissions both in the short and long run, implying that urbanization improves environmental quality. The results are robust even after controlling for a number of factors such as economic or non-economic factors.
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Global economic and environmental outcomes of the Paris Agreement
by Weifeng Liu
CAMA Working Papers, 2019.

In this paper, we use a multi-region model of the world economy to analyze the economic and environmental outcomes that are likely to result from Paris Climate Agreement. To construct the modeling scenario, we convert the disparate emission targets for each country or region in their Nationally Determined Contributions (NDC) formulations into estimated reductions in CO2 emissions relative to a baseline scenario with no new climate policies. We then solve for the tax rate path on CO2 in each region that achieves the NDC-consistent emissions reductions in the target year, 2030 for most regions. We find that if all regions achieve their NDCs, the Paris Agreement significantly reduces CO2 emissions relative to baseline. However, the Paris policy scenario suggests that global CO2 emissions would not decline in absolute terms relative to 2015 levels, let alone follow a path consistent with a 2°C stabilization scenario. Comparing projected 2030 CO2 tax rates to the same year’s percent emissions abatement relative to baseline, we find that declines in CO2 emissions do not necessarily correlate with the CO2 tax rate. We find the climate policies result in significant macroeconomic spillovers across the global economy, meaning that macroeconomic outcomes across countries depend not only on their own commitments but also on those of the rest of the world. We also explore how outcomes could change if select countries (United States, China and Australia) unilaterally withdraw from the agreement and undertake no new climate policies. We find that non-participation leads to economic gains (in terms of GDP) for these countries relative to participating, illustrating the challenge of forging an international agreement with participation by all major emitters and fossil fuel producers. However, we also find that if we account for the monetized climate and domestic cobenefits of emissions reductions, those countries, including Australia, are worse off if they unilaterally withdraw from the Paris Agreement than if they participate. Thus, although we find there are gross costs to participating, doing so generates net benefits for the individual country participants.
Does Economic Growth Eat up Environmental Improvements? Electricity Production and Fossil Fuel Emission in OECD Countries 1980-2014.
by Jan Morten Dyrstad
Energy Policy, February 2019, v. 125, pp. 103-09

We analyze to what extent electricity production by non-fossil fuel replaces fossil fueled electricity production in 27 OECD-countries 1980-2014. Depending on model specification, the long run replacement coefficient is in the range of minus 0.4-1.0, which is considerably larger than found in other studies. This means that an increase in non-fossil fuel based electricity production by 10 kWh/capita replaces fossil fuel based production in the range 4-10 kWh/capita. Over all the estimated replacement is not sufficient to prevent economic growth from increasing fossil based electricity production, thus eating up environmental improvements. However, we identify two important exceptions to this. First, countries with a 'low' level of fossil based production have an Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) relationship when we allow for separate effects of the economic downturn after the Great Recession 2008-2009. Second, results for the EU countries indicate that the EU Emission Trading System, and possibly EU country specific policy instruments, have influenced the mix of electricity production in the intended direction.
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CO2 taxes, equity and the double dividend – Macroeconomic model simulations for Austria.
by Mathias Kirchner
Energy Policy. Mar2019, Vol. 126, p295-314. 20p.

This paper investigates the impacts of CO 2 tax schemes on CO 2 emissions, equity and macroeconomic indicators in Austria with the macroeconomic model DYNK[AUT]. Our scenarios focus on non-ETS CO 2 emissions and comprise different tax rates and revenue recycling options (lower labor taxes, lower VAT and lump sum payments). The short-term comparative scenario analysis indicates that CO 2 taxes without recycling lead to significant CO 2 emission reductions at moderate economic costs. Equity impacts on households depend on the indicator used but can be regressive without recycling. Most recycling schemes can achieve a double dividend, i.e. emission reductions and increases in GDP. Lump sum payments are less efficient than reducing the VAT or labor taxes. Equity impacts are progressive with lump sum payments, rather proportional with lower VAT and regressive with lower labor taxes. A combination of recycling schemes and/or a restriction of lump sum payments to lower income households can minimize the trade-off between equity and efficiency. Our simulations suggest that well-designed CO 2 tax schemes could be a crucial and socially acceptable element within a comprehensive policy package to achieve GHG emission targets for non-ETS sectors in Austria. Highlights • CO 2 tax impacts on equity and the double dividend in Austria. • Macroeconomic modeling with focus on energy demand and household income groups. • Well-designed CO 2 tax schemes can contribute to achieving non-ETS emission targets. • Traditional tax recycling schemes show trade-offs between equity and efficiency. • A combination of different recycling schemes may provide acceptable trade-offs.
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Less Than Zero: Can Carbon-Removal Technologies Curb Climate Change?.
by Fred Krupp
Foreign Affairs, 01/03/2019, Vol. 98 Issue 2, p142-152, 11p

The article focuses on carbon-removal technologies and how they may curb climate change. The authors discuss a 2018 study conducted by the Yale Program on Climate Change Communication, explore the use of negative emission technologies (NETs), and examine how NETs can help implement the United Nations agreement referred to as the Paris accord.
Oil 2019
Analysis and forecasts to 2024
International Energy Agency
OECD, 2019.
 
Oil 2019, the International Energy Agency’s annual outlook for global oil markets, examines the key issues in demand, supply, refining and trade to 2024. This year, the report covers the following themes: A changed supply picture led by the rise of the United States in world markets thanks to rapidly-growing shale oil production, as it becomes a net exporter of crude oil and products. Supply growth in the non-OPEC world, including Brazil, Canada,Norway and Guyana; and a falling capacity for the OPEC producers. Demand growth underpinned by China and India and by the growing importance of petrochemicals as the industry invests to meet rising consumer demand. And a detailed analysis of how the refining industry is grappling with the International Maritime Organisation’s new marine fuel rules, growing excess capacity, and the changing patterns of global oil trade.
 
Natural Capital

The Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Vol 35, Issue 1 Spring 2019 is dedicated to the topic Natural Capital. 
 Articles include: 
Natural capital: assets, systems, and policies
The concept of natural capital
This blessed plot: when should capital gains on land be regarded as income
The ecology of natural capital accounting
Corporate natural capital accounting
Measuring natural capital: towards accounts for the UK and a basis for improved decision-making
Valuing the invaluable: how much is the planet worth?
Choices and the value of natural capital
Natural capital market design
The integration of natural capital into development policies
See abstracts here
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Policy-Making
Moving towards hybridity in causal explanation: The example of citizen participation.
by Liz Richardson
Social Policy & Administration; Mar2019, Vol. 53 Issue 2, p265-278, 14p

The puzzle of causal explanation is a core issue for social science. Searches for causal patterns can be overly mechanistic, seen for example in the desire for the magic bullet in policy, or the lionising of the celebrity policy interventions of the moment. Emphasis in policy interventions on transferable practice is often dismissed as naive for failing to recognise the importance of context, contingency, and complexity. However, a focus on highly context‐specific narratives, drawn from single cases, can be equally problematic and exacerbate rather than help the problem of reification of knowledge. This paper makes a reflective theoretical contribution to the debate on the need to tackle the dilemma of contingency versus certainty in causal explanation in the social sciences. It attempts to address this issue through the lens of a specific concrete puzzle of explanation; that of citizen participation in policy. Citizen participation is a salient policy topic, which demands a thorough understanding of causation. Using extended empirical examples of citizen participation in policy serves to highlight the intractability of different traditions of causal explanation and grounds the need for greater compatibility in approaches. The paper then offers two propositions centring on the notions of transdisciplinarity and hybridity in research practices and methodologies. It concludes with a discussion of more and less desirable forms of hybridity.
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Family Policy Index: A Tool for Policy Makers to Increase the Effectiveness of Family Policies.
by Begoña Elizalde-San Miguel
Social Indicators Research. Feb2019, Vol. 141 Issue 3, p387-409. 23p. 1 Diagram, 5 Charts, 8 Graphs.

This paper presents the Family Policy Index (XFPI), an analytical tool designed to measure and compare different models of countries' provision of educational services, parental leave and economic transfers to support families with children aged 0-3 years. The objective of this index is twofold: from a scientific perspective, it aims at measuring and comparing the overall support families receive through public policies; it also serves advocacy purposes, since the index may offer guidance to policy makers on best practices and may also increase citizens' awareness of the efforts each country is making to support families. The XFPI has been conceptualized following a gender equality principle, considering that policies must involve both mothers and fathers in the exercise of their equal responsibility as parents. The XFPI was measured for two countries, Spain and Norway, in the 1999-2014 period, to test its applicability to different real scenarios and models of Welfare State with different policies and intentions, in which responsibility for childcare falls on two different agents: the State in Norway, and the family in Spain. The results show the extremely low development of Spanish pre-educational services for children 0-3 and, simultaneously, the existing limitations of Norwegian family policies in respect of gender equality. The index has the capacity to provide robust results applicable in different countries and to project into the future the potential scenarios that countries may face when designing new policies.
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Implementing defence Policy: a benchmark-"lite"
De Spiegeleire, Stephan; Jans, Karlijn; Sibbel, Mischa; Holynska, Khrystyna; Lassche, Deborah. Defense & Security Analysis, Mar2019, Vol. 35 Issue 1
 
Most countries put significant amounts of time and effort in writing and issuing high-level policy documents. These are supposed to guide subsequent national defence efforts. But do they? And how do countries even try to ensure that they do? This paper reports on a benchmarking effort of how a few "best of breed" small- to medium-sized defence organisations (Australia, Canada, and New Zealand) deal with these issues. We find that most countries fail to link goals to resources and pay limited attention to specific and rigorous ex-ante or post-hoc evaluation, even when compared to their own national government-wide provisions. We do, however, observe a (modest) trend towards putting more specific goals and metrics in these documents that can be - and in a few rare cases were - tracked. The paper identifies 42 concrete policy "nuggets" - both "do's and don'ts" - that should be of interest to most defence policy planning/analysis communities. It ends with two recommendations that are in line with recent broader (non-defence) scholarship on the policy formulation-policy implementation gap: to put more rigorous emphasis on implementation (especially on achieving desired policy effects), but to do so increasingly in more experiential ("design") ways, rather than in industrial-age bureaucratic ones ("PPBS"-systems).
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Public Sector Management 
Making decentralisation work.
A handbook for policy-makers.

OECD, 2019.
 
This report offers a comprehensive overview of decentralisation policies and reforms in OECD countries and beyond. Sometimes called a “silent” or “quiet” revolution, decentralisation is among the most important reforms of the past 50 years. The report argues that decentralisation outcomes – in terms of democracy, efficiency, accountability, regional and local development – depend greatly on the way it is designed and implemented. Making the most of decentralisation systems is particularly crucial in the context of a “geography of discontent” and growing divides between places that feel left behind by globalisation and technological change and those that may benefit from the opportunities offered by megatrends. The report identifies 10 guidelines for making decentralisation work and allowing it to be conducive to regional development. Beyond the guidelines, the report proposes concrete tools for policy-makers, including detailed sets of recommendations, checklists, pitfalls to avoid and examples of good practices, both in unitary and federal countries.
 
Use of social media in Canadian public administration: opportunities and barriers.
Maria Gintova
Canadian Public Administration Volume 62, NO. 1 (March 2019), PP. 7–26
 
Many government agencies in Canada are using social media to communicate with various audiences. Some research, however, shows that government uses social media to publish content available on its websites and does not engage in two‐way interactions. This article examines interaction on Twitter between Immigration, Refugees and Citizenship Canada (IRCC) and Twitter users. It explores established government social media practices and under‐researched experiences and perspectives of government social media users. Although some of the findings are IRCC specific, users’ experiences and perspectives offer valuable insights for any government agency that uses social media.
 
Reforming public services: does service logic have anything to offer?
by Christian Gronroos
Public Management Review 2019, VOL. 21, NO. 5, 775–788
 
This article discusses what service management and the logic of service (SL) can offer to
public service management. There are no real inbuilt differences between public and
private service organizations and no reasons why public service organizations (PSOs)
would be less efficient and less service-focussed and oriented towards service users
than private service organizations. Good service management rather than privatization
is required to make a PSO more efficient and effectively outward-oriented. Servicefocussed
value creation management and how service logic can be applied by PSOs to
enable them to transform to outward-focussed service organizations are discussed. A
change framework is presented.
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Regulation
The Hayne royal commission and trust issues in the regulation of the Australian financial sector.
by George Gilligan
Law & Financial Markets Review. Dec2018, Vol. 12 Issue 4, p175-185. 11p.

The issue of how trustworthy Australia's financial institutions, especially its banks are, has been an increasingly controversial issue in recent years as a succession of financial scandals engulfed many of the financial sector's most significant players. A recurring theme in debates about Australia's financial sector has been concern about weak enforcement of existing laws and regulation. Criticism has been directed at all of Australia's financial regulators, but especially the market conduct regulator, the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC). After spending years resisting intense pressure from many segments of the community, (including some of its own backbenchers), to establish a royal commission of inquiry to investigate misconduct in Australia's financial sector, the conservative Commonwealth Coalition Government finally capitulated in late November 2017. Retired former High Court Judge Kenneth Hayne was appointed to investigate misconduct in Australia's banking, superannuation and insurance industries. As 2018 has progressed a series of public hearings has revealed an appalling picture of systemic abuse and misconduct by both small and large scale Australian financial institutions. A key question has been what were the regulators, especially ASIC doing, or not doing? This paper discusses the Hayne Royal Commission, especially in relation to Australian regulatory (in)activity. Also, the paper reports on the findings of the 2018 Deloitte National Survey on Trust in Banking regarding the views of Australians on how well banks are held accountable by regulators in Australia.
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Regulations, institutional quality and entrepreneurship
Chambers, Dustin; Munemo, Jonathan
Journal of Regulatory Economics, February 2019, v. 55, Issue 1
 
This paper examines the impact of startup regulations and institutional quality on the level of new business activity in a panel of 119 countries between 2001 and 2012. We find robust evidence that new business creation is significantly lower in countries with excessive barriers to entry, a lack of high-quality governmental institutions, or both. Specifically, increasing by one, the number of steps required to start a new business, reduces entrepreneurial activity between 3 and 7%. Furthermore, a one standard deviation increase in the overall average level of institutional quality is associated with a 34% increase in new business activity.
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Better regulation practices across the European Union.
OECD, 2019.
 
Laws and regulations affect the daily lives of businesses and citizens. High-quality laws promote national welfare and growth, while badly designed laws hinder growth, harm the environment and put the health of citizens at risk. This report analyses practices to improve the quality of laws and regulations across all 28 EU Member States and the European Union. It systematically assesses the use of evidence and stakeholder participation in the design and review of domestic laws and regulations based on the OECD Indicators of Regulatory Policy and Governance. It also provides insights into individual Member States’ use of regulatory management tools as they relate to EU laws. The report presents good regulatory practices and highlights areas that should receive further attention and investment.
 
Pass-through, profits and the political economy of regulation. 
by Felix Grey and Robert A. Ritz
EPRG Working Paper No. 1831, Cambridge Working Paper in Economics 1859, Oct. 2018.
 
Government regulation, such as the pricing of externalities, often raises the unit costs of regulated firms, and its impact on their profits is important to its political economy. We introduce a reduced-form model (“GLM”) that nests existing models of imperfect competition under weaker assumptions. We show how a firm's cost passthrough is a sufficient statistic for the profit impact of regulation. We apply the GLM to carbon pricing for US airlines. We find large inter-firm heterogeneity in pass-through, even
for a uniform cost shock. The GLM allows us to sidestep estimation of a consumer demand system, firm markups and conduct parameters. We derive the second-best emissions tax including lobbying a government “for sale”.
 
Security
The shape of far-right extremism in Australia
by Clive Williams.
The Strategist, 21 March 2019.
 
The modern wave of international right-wing terrorism began in the US and Western Europe in the 1970s, and in Eastern Europe in the early 1990s, following the collapse of the Soviet Union. Right-wing terrorists in the West aim to replace democratic governments with nationalist or fascist regimes, and in Eastern Europe with authoritarian regimes they can control from behind the scenes.
 
Lessons from the Christchurch attack: firearms, organised crime and terrorism.
by Jacinta Carroll.
The Strategist, 18 March 2019.
 
It would make sense for New Zealand to engage with Australian jurisdictions in a standing body that collaboratively looks at firearms regulation and other firearms issues, such as the relationship with organised crime. The standing Australasian Police Ministers’ Council, of which New Zealand is already a member, and subordinate police commissioners’ meeting would be appropriate.
 
The hidden power of the new economic sanctions
by Gordon, Joy.
Current history. 2019 118(804):3-10

"Smart" sanctions, despite the benign name and claims that they precisely target wrongdoers, often systemically undermine a nation´s fundamental infrastructure and harm its entire population.
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The Long-Term Economic Impact of Criminalization in American Childhoods.
by James P. Smith
Human Factors; Mar2019, Vol. 61 Issue 2, p422-444, 23p

This article documents arrest and conviction histories before age 26 years of Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID) respondents using a retrospective module that I designed. I find strong positive cohort effects in rising probabilities of arrest for all demographic subgroups. This increased contact with the criminal justice system across birth cohorts was at a more rapid rate over time among Whites and women. These rising rates of arrests and convictions are associated with lower probabilities of being married, lower weeks worked, lower hourly wages, and lower family incomes during the adult years. The size of the estimated associations is quite large.
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Crime and the minimum wage
by C. Braun.
Review of Economic Dynamics Vol 32, April  2019.
 
How does the minimum wage affect crime rates? Empirical research suggests that increasing a worker's wage can deter him from committing crimes. On the other hand, if that worker becomes displaced as a result of the minimum wage, he may be more likely to commit a crime. In this paper, I describe a frictional world in which a worker's criminal actions are linked to his labor market outcomes. The model is calibrated to match labor market outcomes and crime decisions of workers from the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth 1997, and shows that the relationship between the aggregate crime rate and the minimum wage is U-shaped. The results from the calibrated model, as well as empirical evidence from county level crime data and state level minimum wage changes from 1995 to 2014, suggest that the crime minimizing minimum to median wage ratio for 16 to 19 year olds is 0.91. However, the welfare maximizing minimum to median wage ratio is 0.87, not equal to the crime minimizing value. The median wage of 16 to 19 year olds in the United States in 2018 was $10, suggesting that any federal minimum wage increase up to $8.70 may be welfare improving.
 
Partners in crime
by Billings, Stephen B.; Deming, David J.; Ross, Stephen L.
American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, January 2019, v. 11, Issue 1
 
Social interactions may explain the large variance in criminal activity across neighborhoods and time. We present direct evidence of social spillovers in crime using random variation in neighborhood residence along opposite sides of a newly drawn school boundary. We first show evidence for agglomeration effects--within small neighborhood areas, grouping more disadvantaged students together in the same school increases total crime. We then show that these youths are more likely to be arrested for committing crimes together--to be "partners in crime". Our results show that neighborhood and school segregation increase crime by fostering social interactions between at-risk youth.
 
Taxation
Caves to castles: the development of second home practices in New Zealand.
by Trudie Walters
Journal of Policy Research in Tourism, Leisure & Events; Mar2019, Vol. 11 Issue 1, p1-15, 15p

Using New Zealand as a case study, this paper turns a historical gaze to the development of second home practices, arguing that it is not possible to fully understand changes in second home practice through a narrow focus on housing policy. Rather, as second homes reflect the social, political, economic and cultural contexts in which they are situated, wider government ideology and policy changes, along with changing trends in leisure consumption, must be taken into account. The paper finds that in the 1880s when access to leisure and land tenure was limited, second home practice in New Zealand was very basic and male-dominated. Government-mandated access to leisure and favourable social welfare policies after 1945 meant second homes became the domain of middle-class families. The rhetoric of consumption also flowed into second home practices. The 1984 neoliberal policies led to wealth accumulation for some New Zealanders and rural outmigration for others, which was reflected in the rise of both luxury and re-use second homes. This paper provides useful baseline information for future research efforts, and encourages consideration of the broader implications of policy decisions (not just related to housing) at both national and local government level.
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Skatt: Treasury and tax in the Nordic countries
by Andrew Scott
Nordic Policy Centre, March 2019
 
Australia is a low tax country. Tax is a part of the Nordic countries’ economic success and a point of difference with Australia. The Swedish word for tax – skatt – has another meaning: ‘treasure’. This makes the Swedish language unusual in having such positive connotations associated with the word for community members’ payment of contributions for the general good.
Values such as security, fairness, trust and a sense of belonging underpin – and are in turn reinforced by – the taxation arrangements in all four main Nordic nations. While changing the Australian word for tax is unlikely, improving the fairness and transparency of the tax system could begin to strengthen similar values here.
“The repeated claims by Government that Australian taxpayers are paying higher overall rates of tax in the global context is false and misleading,” said Deakin University Professor Andrew Scott, author of the report.
“For example, Norway’s Social Security Contribution component of taxation paid by employers is more than 6 per cent of GDP. In Australia 6 per cent of GDP would be just over $100 billion extra per annum. Other Nordic countries have higher Social Security Contributions going to nearly 9 per cent of GDP in the case of Finland.
“The direct contribution made by employers in Nordic nations to more extensive paid parental leave, skills training opportunities, and adequate income support for the unemployed, brings benefits back to employers in the form of retention of a high-skilled, well-motivated workforce with greater work-life balance. This puts Nordic nations well above Australia in terms of the factors which determine prosperity. 
“Tax is the price we pay to live in a civilised society, but in contemporary Australia we rarely ask how much civilisation we would like to buy, and what are the best new ways we could fund it,” said Ben Oquist, Executive Director of The Australia Institute.
“We need to talk about revenue. After decades of spending cuts, efficiency dividends, and budget emergencies it is time to confront the fact that many of Australia’s problems, both real and imagined, flow directly from the fact that we have chosen to be one of the lowest taxing countries in the developed world.
 
The truth about the practical tax rate for families.
by Barak Tchelet
Taxation in Australia; Mar2019, Vol. 53 Issue 8, p432-438, 7p

Many Australians believe that an increase in income leads to a positive increase in cash flow that equates to the full amount minus the excessive income tax and Medicare levy. However, this article seeks to unearth the truth about the practical tax rate for families. The article demonstrates that extra income can, in some cases, contribute very little (and sometimes even negative cash flow) to Australian families. The author is of the view that, although people are knowledgeable about their income tax rate, they are ill-informed about the full impact of an income change on their allowances, subsidies and discounts that frequently exceed the tax impact. The author has supported his claims with examples, and concludes that the Australian Government, despite its good intentions to help, generates a complex multi-layered methodology with inconsistencies, absurdity and even clear unfairness.
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Reforming local public finance to reduce resource consumption: the sustainability case for graduated property taxation.
by Maurie J. Cohen
Sustainability Science; Mar2019, Vol. 14 Issue 2, p289-301, 13p

The customary mode of flat rate-property taxation used in the United States and many other Anglospheric countries encourages the consumption of ever greater volumes of energy and materials by relatively affluent households and exacerbates social inequalities. Transition from an invariable tax rate on residential real estate to a graduated schedule could enhance local sustainability by ameliorating the trend toward larger houses and associated increases in resource appropriation. This form of progressive property taxation was most notably implemented in New Zealand during the latter years of the nineteenth century, and has periodically attracted attention as a way to discourage the amassing of large landholdings in rural areas and to maintain housing affordability in cities. This paper considers the design and implementation challenges of a graduated property tax which, by dampening demand for outsized dwellings, could be a useful part of a comprehensive package of climate-change policies for local governments.
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This blessed plot: when should capital gains on land be regarded as income
by Martin Weale
Oxford Review of Economic Policy, Volume 35 Issue 1, Spring 2019' 
 
National balance sheets for a number of advanced economies show land to be a valuable form of natural capital, whose value has increased sharply over the last twenty years or so. This paper investigates when or whether capital gains on land should be counted as a component of income. While development projects can lead to increases in rental rates and land values, it is shown that, although the benefits any project should be counted as income, increases in rental rates and land values should not normally be seen as additional real income. However if land benefits from exogenous land-saving technical progress the resulting capital gains can be seen as income. Applying the same principle to human capital it is shown, on a steady growth path, that these capital gains are equal to Weitzman’s (1997) growth premium in the relationship between income and sustainable consumption.
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Wider Interest
Dignity, inclusiveness and the power to change: the aftermath of the Christchurch attack
by Jacinta Carroll
The Strategist, 20 March 2019.
 
For those involved in countering terrorism—communities, officials and researchers—the most crucial question is how to effectively counter the terrorist narrative.
Over the past few days, from possibly the most unlikely place in the world, we appear to have seen a masterclass.
 
Posttraumatic growth, posttraumatic stress and psychological adjustment in the aftermath of the 2011 Oslo bombing attack
by Ines Blix et al.
Health and Quality of Life Outcomes. Oct 2, 2013, Vol. 11 Issue 1.
 
Experiencing potentially traumatic events is associated with psychological distress. However, some survivors also experience positive personal and psychological changes in the aftermath of trauma. Methods The present study investigated perceived posttraumatic growth in 197 ministerial employees who were present at work during the 2011 Oslo bombing attack. 
 
Moments of goodness: an analysis of ethical and educational dimensions of the Terror Attack on Utoya, Norway.
by A. Kristiansen.
Studies in Philosophy and Education. Sept, 2015, Vol. 34 Issue 5, p505, 16 p.
 
The analysis is based on some moral experiences taking place during a terrorist attack on the Norwegian Labor Party's youth camp on the island of Utoya (outside of Oslo) July 22, 2011, where 69 young people were killed and several seriously injured. After the attack many of the survivors told stories of how strangers spontaneous had helped and cared for each other. In the midst of the horror there occurred sudden 'moments of goodness' or 'points of light' that revealed hope for the persons involved, as well as for the society. The article examines these spontaneous moral practices in light of moral educational theory, as well as discusses the terrorists own way of thinking and acting. The spontaneous practices point toward another basis for a moral approach then a cognitive development tradition. The importance of community is underlined, as well as an interpersonal dimension.
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What Do Australian Economics PhDs Do?
by Kenneth Clements
Australian Economic Review. Mar2019, Vol. 52 Issue 1, p134-144. 11p.

Australian universities now produce about 100 economics PhD graduates each year. Many graduates, perhaps most, aspire to an academic position. How many ultimately achieve this ambition? Relatedly, how long does the PhD take to complete, how many publications emerge from the research and how useful do graduates regard their PhD studies—was it time well spent? These questions relate to the social value of the substantial investment devoted to PhD training in economics, questions which have gone largely unaddressed up to now. The article also contains information on recent trends in graduate numbers and identifies which universities have consistently been the leading producers.
What PwC Learned from Its Policy of Flexible Work for Everyone.
by Anne Donovan
Harvard Business Review Digital Articles; 1/28/2019, p2-4, 3p
 
You need to toss out the rule book. To build a culture of flexibility, you must first reimagine what
flexibility means today. Remember, to create behavior change, you need to allow for variance and
creativity and agility. In other words, be “flexible” when creating a flexibility culture. A policy guide
or a formal program can work against you. It seems counterintuitive, but having rules in place
actually hinders the development of a truly authentic culture. At PwC, we loosely call it “everyday
flexibility.” It isn’t something we mandate that all teams adopt; it’s a mentality and a way of life that
should be individualized for each person.
Succeeding in an increasingly Agile world.
by Steve Denning
Strategy & Leadership. 2018, Vol. 46 Issue 3, p3-9. 7p.

As Agile management thinking spreads to every part and every kind of organization, including their competitors, corporate leaders need to take steps to ensure they get and keep a good seat at the Agile table.
The author’s first hand research finds that firms are learning the hard way that software process and value innovation requires a different way of running the organization to be successful. The whole firm has to become nimble, adaptable and able to adjust on the fly to meet the shifting whims of a marketplace driven by dynamic changes in customer value.Findings The Agile way of working is provoking a revolution in business that affects almost everyone. Agile organizations are connecting everyone and everything, everywhere, all the time. They are capable of delivering instant, intimate, frictionless value on a large scale.Practical implications Examples of the new way of running organizations are everywhere apparent. It’s not just the five biggest firms by market capitalization: Amazon, Apple, Facebook, Google and Microsoft. It’s also firms like Airbnb, Etsy, Lyft, Menlo Innovations, Netflix, Saab, Samsung, Spotify, Tesla, Uber and Warby Parker.Social implications A new kind of management was needed to enable this new kind of worker — a fundamentally different way of running organizations. Agile is economically more productive and a better fit with the new marketplace. And it had immense potential benefit for the human spirit. It could create workplaces that enabled human beings to contribute their full talents on something worthwhile and meaningful – creating value for other human beings.
Continuing the management practices and structures of the lumbering industrial giants of the 20th Century is no longer a viable option for today’s firms. To survive, let alone thrive, leaders today must recognize that Agile is not something happening in software alone.
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Four habits of highly effective virtual teams.
ROKAW, LESLIE
MIT Sloan Management Review. Winter2019, Vol. 60 Issue 2, p4-5. 2p. 
 
The article discusses the flexible scheduling and work-from-home opportunities which play a major role in an employee's decision to take or leave a job. It states that the Millennials is a group of professionals who see flexible work as a standard way of working. It also states that the virtual employees are being more connected to their work, those who were able to spend 60% to 80% of their time away from the office had the highest rates of engagement.
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Making virtual collaboration work: Introduction
MIT Sloan Management Review. Winter2019, Vol. 60 Issue 2,
 
An introduction is presented in which the editor discusses the collection of articles from MIT Sloan Management Review which looks at how organizations are navigating the challenges of a dispersed workforce.
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Five ways to improve communication in virtual teams
by Hill, N Sharon; Bartol, Kathryn M
MIT Sloan Management Review. Winter2019, Vol. 60 Issue 2
 
The article discusses the research which is focused on the dispersed teams who are asked to rate one another on virtual communication behaviors basing on the five best practices which include matching the technology to the task, making intentions clear and being responsive and supportive. It states that the research revealed that performance depends on how people use the technologies and not on the technologies.
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The deadly truth about a world built for men - from stab vests to car crashes
The Guardian, 23 Feb. 2019.
 
An excerpt from Caroline Criado Perez's book Invisible Women: Exposing Data Bias in a World Designed for Men. It aims to expose a world where your phone is too big for your hand, where your doctor prescribes a drug that is wrong for your body, where in a car accident you are 47% more likely to be seriously injured, where every week the countless hours of work you do are not recognised or valued. It exposes the gender data gap – a gap in our knowledge that has a profound effect on women’s lives.
 
 
Designing Climate Solutions : A Policy Guide for Low-carbon Energy
by Hal Harvey

Hal Harvey is founder and CEO of Energy Innovation 
Alive at work : the neuroscience of helping your people love what they do.
by Daniel M. Cable

"We've all seen the oft-cited Gallup poll that reports that an alarming majority of the workforce is disengaged and unmotivated. In Alive at Work, social psychologist Dan Cable argues that the reason for all the unhappiness is biological: organizations, in an effort to routinize work and establish clear-cut performance metrics, are suppressing what neuroscientists call our Seeking Systems, the part of our brain that craves exploration and learning. The good news is that organizations can activate our Seeking Systems, and, as Cable explains, it doesn't take extensive overhauls to their cultures to do so. With small changes, managers and supervisors can make meaningful impacts on our lives and restore our zest for work. For instance, the book reveals: how new hires exhibited their best traits and were less likely to quit in the future after sharing stories about themselves during on-boarding seminars, how Italian factory workers reduced their anxiety about a new process by playing with Legos, how employees at Make-A-Wish reduced burnout by crafting their own job titles. Filled with real-life examples from the author's own research and consulting, Alive at Work equips managers--and anyone looking to find more joy in their nine-to-five existence--with the guidance to maximize the curiosity and passion that lives within themselves and others."
Stubborn attachments.
Cowen Tyler
2018
 
The Conversation, by Tyler Cowen, Jan 2019
 
FT Podcast
 
The moral assumptions embedded in economic models of climate change, The Economist, 2 Dec 2018
Why do so many incompetent men become leaders? : (and how to fix it)
by Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic

"In this provocative book, author Tomas Chamorro-Premuzic connects the dots and asks a powerful question: what if the reason for the lack of women at the top--and the presence of so many incompetent leaders who also happen to be men--is not that there aretoo many obstacles slowing women's advancement, but that there aren't enough career-testing obstacles for men? Marshalling decades of rigorous research on leadership to build his case, Chamorro-Premuzic points out that although women make up a minority of leaders, female leaders are often rated by both bosses and subordinates as more competent than their male peers. At the same time, most organizations continue to equate leadership potential with a handful of personality traits, like overconfidence and narcissism, that don't correlate with success. In other words, these traits may help people get nominated to leadership roles, but they backfire once the individual has the job."

Becoming a manager : how new managers master the challenges of leadership. 
by Linda A. Hill

"In your career, or anyone's, there is one transition that stands out as the most crucial--going from individual performer to competent manager. New managers have to learn how to lead others rather than do the work themselves, to win trust and respect, to motivate, and to strike the right balance between delegation and control. Many fail to make the transition successfully. In this timeless, essential book, Harvard Business School professor and leadership guru Linda Hill traces the experiences of nineteen new managers over the course of their first year in the role. She reveals the complexity of the transition, highlighting the expectations of the managers, their subordinates, and their superiors. We hear the new managers describe how they reframed their understanding of their roles and responsibilities, how they learned to build effective work relationships, how and when they used individual and organizational resources, and how they learned to cope with the inevitable stresses of leadership. Hill shows that becoming a manager is a profound psychological adjustment--a true transformation--as well as a process of learning from experience. And she also offers concrete advice on dealing effectively with organizational politics, developing and leading diverse teams, and how managers can prepare themselves to lead over the course of their careers."
Ambition. 
What New Zealanders think and why it matters
.

Julie Fry and Hayden Glass
2019
 
Julie Fry: Mythbusting New Zealander's attitudes about ambition, Sunday Morning, RNZ March 2019.
 
 
 
Still counting. 
Well-being, women's work and policy-making
.

Marilyn Waring
2018
 
Available in print and ebook format, link to ebook is available from the Koha record.
 
Sunday, Radio New Zealand.
Dec 2018, Interview with the author.
 
 
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